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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Ali Vaez
    Ali Vaez “At every stop of Mr. Trump's trip, Arab leaders urged him to find a negotiated settlement with Iran. The alternative is terrible for them. Iran with a bomb or Iran bombed both have bad consequences for the region.” 15 hours ago
  • Mina al-Lami
    Mina al-Lami “Jihadist and hard-line Islamists inside and outside of Syria worry that Sharaa [Ahmed al-Sharaa] will sell out foreign fighters and normalize ties with Israel, and even crack down on Islamic projects in Syria. Nevertheless, hardliners are struggling to rally broader support, as the lifting of sanctions is widely seen as a major win for Sharaa, and a clear boost to his image and credibility as a political leader.” 15 hours ago
  • Hossein Derakhshan
    Hossein Derakhshan “Iran needs to understand that this opportunity will not repeat itself and the lifting of primary and secondary sanctions is worth suspending uranium enrichment for 25 years, or even more!” 16 hours ago
  • Nicole Grajewski
    Nicole Grajewski “Russia exploited the fact that Syria remained sanctioned and that the United States and Europe were dragging their feet on sanctions removal. While the decision to lift sanctions is significant, it is not transformative as Syria still needs investment and there are outstanding issues between minorities and the government as well as the status of the Kurds. Iran, however, is pretty much out of the picture for now. They lack the economic capital to help with reconstruction and are viewed [by Syrians] much more negatively than Russia.” 16 hours ago
  • Jon B. Alterman
    Jon B. Alterman “Governments and publics throughout the gulf like Trump a lot. They feel Western liberals want to shame them on their domestic issues, everything from L.G.B.T. rights to abuse of migrant workers. While there certainly are rising liberal voices in the gulf, most people there see Trump as a common-sense, like-minded leader.” 16 hours ago
  • Andrew Leber
    Andrew Leber “The trip was intended to deliver a series of economic, diplomatic and public relations wins for the countries involved. Saudi Arabia got the opportunity to highlight the changing nature of its society and economy, and present itself as a leader in global affairs, both in terms of business opportunities and diplomacy. Mr. Trump got a trip that essentially could not go wrong for him. This was the one place that's guaranteed to give him a very enthusiastic, warm and tightly controlled welcome. If he went anywhere in Latin America, there would be protests. If he went anywhere in Europe, there would be protests. This is a place that's going to speak with him and deal with him on very transactional terms, that's going to put on a big show and where there's not going to be any domestic protests whatsoever.” 16 hours ago
  • Zeina Khodr
    Zeina Khodr “At the opening of the Arab Summit in Baghdad, speaker after speaker has been talking about the desperate conditions under which Palestinians are living. There is a real fear among the Arab leaders that Israel plans to ethnically cleanse Gaza, resettle the Palestinians, and depopulate this whole region. This is why the statements we have been hearing since this morning are rejecting this plan, saying that the Palestinian people should remain on their own land. But it's Israel that's calling the shots, not these Arab leaders. Israel's actions in recent days - by stepping up the military offensive and talking about permanently staying in Gaza - are sending a message that it is not interested in ending the war. Many will say that unless they have the US on board to help end this war, the Arab states have very little leverage on Israel. The normalisation of relations with Israel is not on the table until Israel commits to Palestinian statehood, and the Arab states are using this as some sort of leverage.” 17 hours ago
  • Gideon Levy
    Gideon Levy “The possibility of Iran and the US reaching a nuclear agreement is a very hopeful development. Those who believe only in bombing Iran as the only solution, what can they do? Israel cannot go for an attack over Iran without at least American approval. And if there will be a deal, there will be no approval. And I think many lives will be saved, but Israel can do nothing about it.” 17 hours ago
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Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Putin is not going to end this war, at least not on any reasonable terms. But what he is interested in is building some new relations with the US administration. If negotiations collapse and Europe fails to achieve some kind of joint action against Putin...then Ukraine will be the main loser - because, once again, Putin will essentially be able to continue the war. Putin's goal is to keep the war going while avoiding a complete falling out with Trump.”

author
Editor in chief of the Latvia-based Russian language media outlet Novaya Gazeta Europe
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“Ukraine's number one priority is a full, unconditional, and honest cease-fire. This must happen immediately to stop the killing and create a solid basis for diplomacy. If the Russian delegation in Istanbul does not agree to a cease-fire, the world must respond. There needs to be a strong reaction, including sanctions Russia's energy sector and banks. This week we had a real chance to take important steps toward ending this war. If only Putin had not been afraid to come to Turkey.”

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President of Ukraine
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“By brushing off the challenge from Zelenskyy, Putin wriggled out of the difficult diplomatic situation that he had gotten himself into, and in general [it means] he will continue to lie and fight [the war against Ukraine].”

author
Former White House National Security Council official for Russia and Ukraine
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“If Putin shows up in Istanbul, it would already be a defeat. Simply entering negotiations with Zelenskyy would signal a loss for him - especially if he arrives under pressure, to a summit he clearly never planned to attend. Most likely, Russia won't be able to offer anything that would satisfy the Americans, the Ukrainians, or the Europeans. That could mark the end of the negotiations altogether.”

author
Russian political observer and historian
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“I don't think they (Russia) are interested in peace. They are still bombing Ukraine. If they were interested in peace, they could stop right now.”

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EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy
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“Putin's call for direct negotiations means that he sees an opportunity to draw Ukraine into an 'Istanbul-2' process, closely resembling the talks of March-April 2022, to pursue the same objectives - now including the newly annexed territories. The reality is that neither Moscow nor Kyiv is ready to agree to a durable peace, as their positions are fundamentally irreconcilable. The American initiative to broker a deal is doomed to fail - at least at this stage. Without internal upheaval in Russia or a battlefield breakthrough for Ukraine, which is unlikely at this point, external pressure on Moscow - such as tighter sanctions - would not change Putin's position. His objective remains to turn Ukraine into a 'friendly' state, and so long as he remains in power, he will continue either to fight or to coerce capitulation.”

author
Senior fellow at the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center
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“We await a full and lasting ceasefire, starting from tomorrow, to provide the necessary basis for diplomacy. There is no point in prolonging the killings. And I will be waiting for Putin in Türkiye on Thursday. Personally. I hope that this time the Russians will not look for excuses.”

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President of Ukraine
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“European leaders are postponing the moment of concluding peace in Ukraine due to concerns that they will have to bear responsibility for their wrong strategy of conflict solving. Statements of Europeans that Kiev can win on the battlefield and the time for truce has not yet come are only protracting the conflict in Ukraine. European politicians chose the wrong strategy. This created problems in the daily life of their citizens and the end of war will have consequences for these politicians. Therefore, they want to postpone this moment for as long as possible.”

author
Hungarian Foreign Minister
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“Ukraine and all allies are ready for a full unconditional cease-fire on land, air, and at sea for at least 30 days starting already on Monday, May 12. If Russia agrees and effective monitoring is ensured, a durable ceasefire and confidence-building measures can pave the way to peace negotiations.”

author
Minister for Foreign Affairs of Ukraine
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“So all of us here together with the US are calling Putin out. If he is serious about peace, then he has a chance to show it. No more ifs and buts, no more conditions and delays.”

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UK Prime Minister
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“They [Ukrainian authorities] are not ready for immediate negotiations. Ceasefire negotiations were supported by President Putin but he asked several questions. For the time being, Russian troops are advancing in quite a confident way.”

author
Kremlin spokesman
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“As for the question of the demilitarised zone, the disengagement of troops, I've heard about it in the media and not only in the media, from many different people, from many intelligence services. Officially, Ukraine has not proposed anything like this. But... like sappers, everyone is looking for some opportunities to conduct an experiment on us. The issue of the demilitarised zone in both directions is 15 kilometres - why 15 kilometres? And from which line will we measure it - from the border, from the contact line... Even if we talk about 15 kilometres, what are we going to do with Kherson? This means that there will be no our troops in Kherson. If our troops aren't in Kherson, we won't have Kherson.”

author
President of Ukraine
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“Mr. Putin has played down these challenges, accepting short-term economic pain and diplomatic setbacks in the hope that his persistence will eventually yield a triumph of historic proportions. They are convinced that they are more resilient than their opponents. They believe that victory will not go to the side that is the best, but to the one that remains standing the longest.”

author
Russian economy expert at the Center for European Policy Analysis
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“I'm not yet that pessimistic on this, I wouldn't say that the Russians are 'uninterested'. What I'd say is right now the Russians are asking for a certain set of concessions in order to end the conflict. We think they're asking for too much. The step that we would like to make right now is: we'd like both the Russians and the Ukrainians to actually agree on some basic guidelines for sitting down and talking to one another. Obviously, the United States is happy to participate in these conversations. But it's very important for the Russians and the Ukrainians to start talking to one another. There remains a wide gap between the Russian and Ukrainian positions on what would constitute an acceptable end to the war. We think the next step in the negotiations is to try to close that gulf.”

author
US Vice President
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“This [Kursk] operation, which has been underway for nine months, has achieved most of its objectives. Thanks to our active operations in Kursk Oblast, we prevented the Russians from launching an offensive campaign in Sumy and Kharkiv oblasts. The buffer zone established by Ukraine's defence forces in the border areas remains relevant today.”

author
Ukraine’s commander of ground forces
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“We have enough strength and means to bring what was started in 2022 to a logical conclusion with the outcome Russia requires. There has been no need to use those [nuclear] weapons ... and I hope they will not be required.”

author
President of Russia
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“Rather than striking multiple targets throughout Ukraine, it has focused many nights on one intensive bombardment of a single city or town. That tactic overwhelms Ukrainian air defenses and results in much greater destruction and human casualties. The goal is to stir opposition to the war in Ukraine and raise pressure on the Ukrainian government to accept settlement terms.”

author
Military analyst at the Razumkov Center, a research organization, in Kyiv
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“If there is going to be a moment when they cannot pursue military action, you expect armies to get in whatever blows they want before they have to stop. I don't think an increase in attacks necessarily means rejection of the negotiating process. There are things militaries want to achieve before a potential cessation of hostilities.”

author
Russian security analyst at the RAND Corporation
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