IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Mikhail Bogdanov
    Mikhail Bogdanov “The bases are still there, where they were on Syrian territory. No other decisions have been made for the moment. They were there at the Syrians' request with the aim of fighting terrorists from the Islamic State. I am proceeding on the basis of the notion that everyone agrees that the fight against terrorism, and what remains of [ISIL], is not over.” 6 hours ago
  • Stephen Zunes
    Stephen Zunes “Israeli military's push into Syrian territory is a clear case of further expansionism by an opportunistic Israel. One can argue about whether Israel should bomb weapons facilities that could get into 'the wrong hands', as they say. But the ground invasion has no logic to it whatsoever, no strategic rationale. This is clearly taking advantage of the fact that Syria is not in a position to defend itself any more. With most of their navy and air force destroyed, with the leadership in flux and the government trying to desperately hold things together. This seemed to be the perfect opportunity for further expansionism. Already there are tweets from Israelis looking forward to building a ski resort on Mount Hermon and talking about holding on to this area for an extended period. I mean, they clearly feel they can get away with this.” 6 hours ago
  • Yun Sun
    Yun Sun “Beijing will play it safe when there's no protocol or precedent for a Chinese leader to attend the inauguration of a U.S. president. I don't think the Chinese will take the risk. There could be risks in the guest list, for example. Taiwan's top diplomat in the U.S. attended the swearing-in of President Joe Biden in 2021. Should Trump slap tariffs as high as 60% on Chinese goods upon taking office as he's threatened, Xi would look like a fool if he had chosen to attend, and that's unacceptable to Beijing.” 6 hours ago
  • Donald Trump
    Donald Trump “We have a good relationship with China. I have a surprising relationship. Now, when the COVID came in, I sort of cut it off. That was a step too far.” 6 hours ago
  • Daniel Russel
    Daniel Russel “Xi's attendance, if he accepts, could be construed as the Chinese president celebrating the triumph of a foreign leader. Can you imagine Xi Jinping sitting outdoors in Washington, DC, in January at the feet of the podium, surrounded by hawkish members of Congress, gazing up at Donald Trump as he delivers his inaugural address?” 6 hours ago
  • Scott Kennedy
    Scott Kennedy “This is diplomatic theater, nothing more. Other heads of state, let alone Xi Jinping, haven't attended US presidential inaugurations.” 7 hours ago
  • Karoline Leavitt
    Karoline Leavitt “This [invitation for Xi Jinping to attend the inauguration ceremony] is an example of President Trump creating an open dialogue with leaders of countries that are not just our allies but our adversaries and our competitors, too.” 7 hours ago
  • Antonio Rodrigue
    Antonio Rodrigue “The security situation is only getting worse. Armed gangs are becoming increasingly violent and are operating without any fear or restraint. In spite of the embargo imposed by Security Council Resolution 2653, these weapons are coming from outside Haiti because Haiti itself doesn't manufacture any weapons at all - assault weapons and automatic weapons which were originally designed for wars and now to be found in the hands of Haitian gangs.” 9 hours ago
  • Donald Trump
    Donald Trump “I disagree very vehemently with sending missiles hundreds of miles into Russia. Why are we doing that? We're just escalating this war and making it worse. That should not have been allowed to be done.” 10 hours ago
  • Sylvain Crépon
    Sylvain Crépon “Le Pen chose the least suicidal option. If the National Rally had not voted to topple the government, it would have become the party under the government's thumb, and they would have lost their protest-vote electorate, who hate Macron.” 12 hours ago
  • Bruno Jeanbart
    Bruno Jeanbart “I think it was a difficult decision for her [Marine Le Pen], that goes against her strategy to make the National Rally more mainstream. But the pressure of the voters was getting too strong. It was more important for her to secure her core voters than to catch new ones at a time when a moderate centrist presidential candidate for 2027 hasn't yet emerged.” 12 hours ago
  • Marine Le Pen
    Marine Le Pen “I don't gamble, I don't play at the casino … I take political decisions. We were faced with an irresponsible budget, and we tried to be responsible.” 12 hours ago
  • Kassym-Jomart Tokayev
    Kassym-Jomart Tokayev “Relations between our states are improving. Russian President Vladimir Putin's recent state visit to Astana added momentum to the advancement of strategic partnership and allied relations of our states. I feel optimistic about the future of our interaction.” 13 hours ago
  • Rob Geist Pinfold
    Rob Geist Pinfold “The deck is being reshuffled and all options are in play in a new Syria. I think there is some cause for optimism there in Sullivan's statement because previously, while the Assad regime was around and ISIS was very strong, while al-Qaeda was present in Syria, there were a lot of organisations the Americans would not talk to, saying they're beyond the pale, they're terrorists, they're autocrats, dictators, what have you. In this new Syria, I think it really shows you how the deck is being reshuffled and all options are in play now that the US is basically saying we're prepared to talk to all these organisations, including ones it has labelled terrorists, like HTS.” 13 hours ago
  • Oleksandr Syrsky
    Oleksandr Syrsky “Unconventional decisions must be made to enhance the resilience of our defense and ensure more effective destruction of the occupiers. The battles are exceptionally fierce. The Russians are throwing all available forces forward, attempting to break through our defenses.” 15 hours ago
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Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations on North Korean Troops

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia war in Ukraine - Considerations on North Korean Troops.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“The longer the war lasts, the deeper the ties between Russia and North Korea are likely to get. Moscow may grow more dependent on Pyongyang, and possibly transfer advanced technology that could be dangerous in the hands of Kim Jong-un. As Ukraine is in a state of war, they are engaged in psychological warfare just as Russia is. Some information [Ukraine suggests the North Korean contingent is much larger] out there is propaganda and not necessarily accurate. Our intelligence service is making the judgment on a combination of Ukrainian and other sources.”

author
South Korean Politician - Member of a parliamentary intelligence committee
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“U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that if North Korean troops join the fight, they will become legitimate targets. The primary targets of the ATACMS missiles are likely to be North Korean infantry in Russia's Kursk region, who are poorly armed. Even without the Trump factor, the war in Ukraine seems to have shifted to a phase of regional skirmishes focused on limited territorial gains, with a major expansion of the conflict looking unlikely. As the situation seems to be moving into a so-called 'control mode' with Trump's return, South Korea's rationale in providing military aid to Ukraine in response to North Korean troops could lack clarity.”

author
Senior researcher at the Korea Institute for National Unification
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“We [Japanese Foreign Minister Takeshi Iwaya] also discussed that North Korea has now become Russia's accomplice and is helping Putin in this illegal war. I informed him about the North Korean military's activities in Kursk Oblast, about all the threats posed by Pyongyang and Moscow's cooperation. Russia is training North Korea in modern warfare, and this can cause a much wider destabilisation. We must counter this together and with all our other partners.”

author
President of Ukraine
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“The troop deployment to Russia is merely part of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un's ruthless business strategy aimed at profiting from the war. North Korean troops sent to Russia are not elite army members. Kim Jong-un would benefit more from dispatching inexperienced soldiers to the front lines, as they will likely become cannon fodder. The more North Koreans die on the battlefield, the more money he stands to gain from Russia. Kim understands the value of specially trained forces better than any other dictator. Kim once remarked that one elite soldier is equivalent to 100 average soldiers in terms of military capability. He emphasized that their role is crucial in times of war. Kim is aware that the roughly 200,000 members of North Korea's special forces are a key military asset he can rely on. Therefore, he would never want to trade them away. If North Korea were to send elite troops to Russia, he knows his country would face dire consequences in the event of a contingency.”

author
North Korean defector and journalist who operates two YouTube news channels
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“I wonder if they are really special forces. They were quite different from the Storm Corps members that I know. The special forces are physically fit and athletic, as they are well-fed and receive specialized training. However, the soldiers I saw on TV looked malnourished, resembling ordinary soldiers I encountered in rural areas of North Korea.”

author
North Korean escapee who earned her doctoral degree in North Korean Studies in the South
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