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  • Andrei Soldatov
    Andrei Soldatov “The problem is to actually be able to prevent terrorist attacks, you need to have a really good and efficient system of intelligence sharing and intelligence gathering. Trust is needed inside the home agency and with agencies of other countries, as is good coordination. That's where you have problems.” 15 hours ago
  • Dmitry Peskov
    Dmitry Peskov “All war crimes [committed] by the Kyiv regime are thoroughly documented. We were well aware of these crimes. And, of course, we will make sure that those behind these crimes are duly punished.” 15 hours ago
  • Timothy Snyder
    Timothy Snyder “The terrorists' car was stopped near Bryansk, which is in western Russia, and so vaguely near Ukraine, which means that the four Tajiks in a Renault were intending to cross the Ukrainian border, which means that they had Ukrainian backers, which means that it was a Ukrainian operation, which means that the Americans were behind it. The reasoning here leaves something to be desired. And the series of associations rests on no factual basis.” 15 hours ago
  • Vladimir Putin
    Vladimir Putin “We have no aggressive intentions towards these states. The idea that we will attack some other country - Poland, the Baltic States, and the Czechs are also being scared - is complete nonsense. It's just drivel. If they supply F-16s, and they are talking about this and are apparently training pilots, this will not change the situation on the battlefield. And we will destroy the aircraft just as we destroy today tanks, armoured vehicles and other equipment, including multiple rocket launchers. Of course, if they will be used from airfields in third countries, they become for us legitimate targets, wherever they might be located.” 15 hours ago
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Russia invasion of Ukraine

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia invasion of Ukraine.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Russia's full-scale armed attack on Ukraine, which is about to enter its third year with no end in sight, continues to cause serious and widespread human rights violations, destroying lives and livelihoods. The invasion has exacted a horrific human cost, inflicting immense suffering on millions of civilians.”

author
UN high commissioner for human rights
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“The beginning of the Russian invasion did not take place under a unified command, as there were five different army groups each leading autonomous operations. That will change under Surovikin's [Sergey Surovikin] leadership of the war. The reason it was not possible to have a unified command of all the Russian forces was the distance and lack of information technology to put together all of the command and control facilities and capabilities. What we are seeing now is one person and one headquarters is going to plan out and direct the operation. But it is also a signal that from now on the operation will concentrate on one specific area. It may be Luhansk, it may be Donetsk, it may be in the south. What we are seeing is a shrinking of the operation of Russia.”

author
Editor-in-chief at the Swiss Military Review
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“We're coming to a point right now where I think Putin is going to have to revise what his objectives are for this operation. It's pretty clear right now that he's … not going to be able to do what he initially intended to do. The Russians planned for an occupation, not necessarily an invasion, and that has set them back. He's [Vladimir Putin] coming to a decision point. What that decision will be we don't know. But that will largely drive how long this conflict lasts.”

author
Director of the US Defense Intelligence Agency
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“It is not only missile strikes from the air and sea. We can see shelling along the entire line of contact, along the entire front line. There is an active use of tactical aviation and attack helicopters. There is indeed a certain activation of the enemy along the entire front line... Clearly preparations are now underway for the next stage of the offensive.”

author
Spokesman for Ukrainian military intelligence
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“It is clear that this will not end soon. But then again, if we are given all the weapons that we need, the counter-offensive could well be over by the end of the summer.”

author
Major-General who leads Ukraine's forces in Mykolaiv
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“Russia's war in Ukraine is not going as Moscow had planned. They failed to take Kyiv. They are pulling back from Kharkiv and their major offensive in Donbass has stalled.”

author
Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
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“I think he's [Vladimir Putin] in a frame of mind in which he doesn't believe he can afford to lose. I think he's convinced right now that doubling down still will enable him to make progress. We don't see, as an intelligence community, practical evidence at this point of Russian planning for the deployment or even potential use of tactical nuclear weapons. Given the kind of sabre-rattling that … we've heard from the Russian leadership, we can't take lightly those possibilities. So we stay very sharply focused as an intelligence service … on those possibilities at a moment when the stakes are very high for Russia.”

author
CIA Director
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“Putin now has routinely rattled the nuclear saber, and he continues to do so, frankly, because I think he knows that...he has reduced his conventional advantage that he actually had prior to the 24th of February, and so this is his assurance. And I think we should expect that, but we shouldn't blink.”

author
Retired U.S. Army General and former commander of U.S. and NATO forces in Europe
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“Imagine how many missiles and bombs you can buy for that kind of money. Some people in Europe still have extremely narrow thinking. They believe they can help us, that they're our great friends and indeed they are. But they do not understand that by supplying this money to Putin, they are funding his military machine. If Russians are committing war crimes, even genocide, whoever is supplying Russia with this bloody money is guilty of the same war crime.”

author
Economic adviser to the President of Ukraine (Zelenskyy)
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“So, they have three weeks and about 200 kilometres (124 miles) that they will have to cross in the endless springtime steppe crisscrossed with deep ravines and riverbeds, to encircle the Ukrainian forces. Instead, Russia's top brass may decide to leave Donbas alone and concentrate on taking Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city with a predominantly Russian-speaking population that has been bombarded for weeks. It would be 'comfortable' to Putin to report the [takeover of] Kharkiv on May 9.”

author
Research Fellow at Bremen University
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“We didn't really have any contacts with Russian diplomats in recent weeks at the level of foreign ministries. The only level of contact is the negotiating team that consists of the representatives of various institutions and members of parliament. They continue their consultations at the expert level but no high level talks are taking place.”

author
Foreign Minister of Ukraine
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“There will be an offensive ... not only on Mariupol, but also on other places, cities and villages. Luhansk and Donetsk - we will fully liberate in the first place ... and then take Kyiv and all other cities. I assure you: not one step will be taken back.”

author
Russian and Chechen politician serving as the Head of the Chechen Republic
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“According to our intelligence, Russian units are not withdrawing but repositioning. Russia is trying to regroup, resupply and reinforce its offensive in the Donbas region. At the same time, Russia maintains pressure on Kyiv and other cities. So we can expect additional offensive actions, bringing even more suffering.”

author
Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
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“It's plausible that they're basically trying to ratchet their perceived war aims down to something they've already accomplished [the existing hold on parts of the Donbas]. It's also possible the Russians decided they began the war with the wrong approach, with combat forces spread too thinly across too many parts of the country. In that case, they might now try to regroup with a central focus on the Donbas, and make that the new starting point for an offensive they could later broaden.”

author
Professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University, who has studied US wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere
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“The winter campaign is basically over. There's going to be flooding and more dirt. Come May, it will all dry up and then comes the summer campaign, which most likely will be decisive. Right now there is going to be a pause with the Russian military explaining to the populace that 'everything is OK, everything is under control, this is a pause'. But everything continues and the objectives will be achieved eventually.”

author
Moscow-based military analyst
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