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  • Ravina Shamdasani
    Ravina Shamdasani “According to international law, Israel must ensure civilians have access to medical care, adequate food, safe water and sanitation. Failure to meet these obligations may amount to forced displacement, which is a war crime. There are strong indications that this [Rafah offensive] is being conducted in violation of international humanitarian law.” 16 hours ago
  • António Guterres
    António Guterres “I appeal to all those with influence over Israel to do everything in their power to help avert even more tragedy. The international community has a shared responsibility to promote a humanitarian ceasefire, the unconditional release of all hostages and a massive surge in life-saving aid. It is time for the parties to seize the opportunity and secure a deal for the sake of their own people.” 16 hours ago
  • Annalena Baerbock
    Annalena Baerbock “I warn against a major offensive on Rafah. A million people cannot simply vanish into thin air. They need protection. They need more humanitarian aid urgently … the Rafah and Kerem Shalom [Karem Abu Salem] border crossings must immediately be reopened.” 16 hours ago
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Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russia’s Victory Day parade on May 9th

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russia’s Victory Day parade on May 9th.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“Putin will not admit defeat. The Kremlin will not compromise. Right before May 9 there will be a big moment for Putin to say, mission accomplished, this is my version of history. This is my legacy. It needs to be presented as a mission accomplished. Forget about taking over Kyiv. We've flattened Mariupol, we've liberated more parts of Donbas. Maybe they will announce a republic in Kherson.”

author
Senior research fellow at the Chatham House think tank in London
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“He [Vladimir Putin] will insist that the US and NATO are willing to risk continued violence and economic downturn around the world just to humiliate Russia and limit its power in the international order. Since it is May 9, they will evoke the Great Patriotic War and portray this moment as another when the Russian people must be steadfast and heroic while under attack. Putin's proven himself quite capable of twisting truths and reorganising the narrative in a way that might seem logically unsound but resonates nonetheless. It's not his first rodeo or Russia's with propaganda.”

author
Research fellow at Georgetown’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology
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