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  • Igor Grosu
    Igor Grosu “The plebiscite is a chance for Moldovans to show loudly and clearly that we are Europeans. ... We are not entering Europe, we are returning to it.” 16 hours ago
  • Maia Sandu
    Maia Sandu “Joining the EU is the best thing we can give this and future generations.” 16 hours ago
  • Igor Dodon
    Igor Dodon “We are categorically opposed to this referendum. We are not saying 'no' to talks with the EU and we are not opposed to the EU. We oppose Sandu using it as an instrument for her own interests and those of her party. We are therefore asking voters during the campaign not to take part in the referendum.” 16 hours ago
  • Ben Hodges
    Ben Hodges “Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.” 18 hours ago
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Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russia's intentions

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russia's intentions.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“The military operation continues and it will continue until the goals that were originally set are achieved. Of course any actions of the military that they perform as part of the special operation are reported to the Supreme Commander.”

author
Kremlin spokesman
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“If the war ends with Russia occupying all of Luhansk and Donetsk plus retaining control of the land corridor to Crimea, it will be more than enough for Putin to declare a spotless victory. But to cement his victory, the Russian leader will need to convince Ukraine to agree to a truce under such conditions, and that's a totally different story. Ukraine and its Western allies are hoping that under pressure from crippling sanctions Russia will eventually exhaust its military and economic potential and lose the battle.”

author
Freelance journalist based in Riga
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“He [Vladimir Putin] will insist that the US and NATO are willing to risk continued violence and economic downturn around the world just to humiliate Russia and limit its power in the international order. Since it is May 9, they will evoke the Great Patriotic War and portray this moment as another when the Russian people must be steadfast and heroic while under attack. Putin's proven himself quite capable of twisting truths and reorganising the narrative in a way that might seem logically unsound but resonates nonetheless. It's not his first rodeo or Russia's with propaganda.”

author
Research fellow at Georgetown’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology
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“According to the most recent reports, we believe that Russia will try to annex the 'Donetsk People's Republic' and 'Luhansk People's Republic' to Russia. The international community, including the OSCE, where I work as ambassador, has been very clear that such sham referenda … will not be considered legitimate nor will any attempts to annex additional Ukrainian territory.”

author
United States ambassador to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe
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“They began with announcements about taking Kyiv in three days, and now they are explaining that it is impossible to take Donbas within several months. Everything he's [Putin] been trying to build in more than 20 years is falling apart like a house of cards.”

author
Russian activist and historian who fled Russia in 2019
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“According to our intelligence, Russian units are not withdrawing but repositioning. Russia is trying to regroup, resupply and reinforce its offensive in the Donbas region. At the same time, Russia maintains pressure on Kyiv and other cities. So we can expect additional offensive actions, bringing even more suffering.”

author
Secretary General of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)
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“In order to increase mutual trust and create the necessary conditions for further negotiations and achieving the ultimate goal of agreeing and signing (an) agreement, a decision was made to radically, by a large margin, reduce military activity in the Kyiv and Chernihiv directions.”

author
Russian Deputy Defence Minister
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“In fact, it is an attempt to create North and South Korea in Ukraine. Ukraine's army would push back Russian forces. In addition, the season of a total Ukrainian guerrilla safari will soon begin. Then there will be one relevant scenario left for the Russians, how to survive.”

author
Head of Ukraine's military intelligence service
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“Moscow may be looking for a way out of its Ukraine quagmire. Focusing its military goals on control of the Donbas could be a way of scaling back without admitting defeat.”

author
Defence analyst at the Lexington Institute, a Washington think-tank
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“It's plausible that they're basically trying to ratchet their perceived war aims down to something they've already accomplished [the existing hold on parts of the Donbas]. It's also possible the Russians decided they began the war with the wrong approach, with combat forces spread too thinly across too many parts of the country. In that case, they might now try to regroup with a central focus on the Donbas, and make that the new starting point for an offensive they could later broaden.”

author
Professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University, who has studied US wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere
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“I think it's another way to say regime change in Kyiv has failed. The attempt to encircle and storm Kyiv has failed, and the effort is now focused on the east. Russia originally had a three-pronged military strategy: to encircle and then seize the capital, to capture Ukraine's south, and take the key city of Mariupol. I'm not sure how successful that will be.”

author
Chair of critical conflict studies at the Doha Institute
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“The main objectives of the first stage of the operation have generally been accomplished. The combat potential of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been considerably reduced, which … makes it possible to focus our core efforts on achieving the main goal, the liberation of Donbas.”

author
Head of the Russian General Staff's Main Operational Directorate
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