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Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russian military strategy

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia invasion of Ukraine - Russian military strategy.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Serhii Kuzan
Serhii Kuzan

“Russia's army is currently attacking multiple places all along the more than 600-mile front line to probe Ukraine's defenses. Which of them will be prioritized, for example, in two days or next week, will depend on how well they succeed in pushing through our defense. Where they succeed in pushing through, they will deploy additional reserves to build on their success. This is their strategy.”

author
Chairman of the Ukrainian Security and Cooperation Center, a nongovernmental research group
09 Mar 2024 1 2
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Ruslan Leviyev
Ruslan Leviyev

“The phenomenon of refusal is becoming systemic. Such soldiers are found in practically every unit that has returned from Ukraine. According to our estimates, from 20 to 40 percent of the contract servicemen that returned from Ukraine and that are being readied to be sent back are refusing to return to combat. From the cases we have seen, they are being intimidated with threats of prosecution and being worked over by military prosecutors. But so far no one has been prosecuted, according to what we have seen.”

author
Founder of the nongovernmental Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT)
16 Apr 2022 3 2
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Stephen Biddle
Stephen Biddle

“It's plausible that they're basically trying to ratchet their perceived war aims down to something they've already accomplished [the existing hold on parts of the Donbas]. It's also possible the Russians decided they began the war with the wrong approach, with combat forces spread too thinly across too many parts of the country. In that case, they might now try to regroup with a central focus on the Donbas, and make that the new starting point for an offensive they could later broaden.”

author
Professor of international and public affairs at Columbia University, who has studied US wars in Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere
26 Mar 2022 5 4
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Omar Ashour
Omar Ashour

“I think it's another way to say regime change in Kyiv has failed. The attempt to encircle and storm Kyiv has failed, and the effort is now focused on the east. Russia originally had a three-pronged military strategy: to encircle and then seize the capital, to capture Ukraine's south, and take the key city of Mariupol. I'm not sure how successful that will be.”

author
Chair of critical conflict studies at the Doha Institute
26 Mar 2022 5 3
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Sergei Rudskoi
Sergei Rudskoi

“The main objectives of the first stage of the operation have generally been accomplished. The combat potential of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has been considerably reduced, which … makes it possible to focus our core efforts on achieving the main goal, the liberation of Donbas.”

author
Head of the Russian General Staff's Main Operational Directorate
25 Mar 2022 3 4
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Rob Lee
Rob Lee

“There's a lot of stuff they're doing that's perplexing. [He thought] The beginning of the war would be maximum use of force. Because every day it goes on, there's a cost and the risk goes up. And they're not doing that and it just is really hard to explain for any realistic reason.”

author
Russian military specialist at the Foreign Policy Research Institute
02 Mar 2022 1 3
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