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  • Ayman Safadi
    Ayman Safadi “Tremendous effort has been made to produce an exchange deal that'll release hostages and realize a ceasefire. Hamas has put out an offer. If Netanyahu genuinely wants a deal, he will negotiate the offer in earnest. Instead, he is jeopardizing the deal by bombing Rafah.” 10 hours ago
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Russia invasion of Ukraine - Military considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia invasion of Ukraine - Military considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“This is definitely not an exercise. There are many facts that contradict that idea. This region is not on the schedule for the exercises, but some rather impressive forces have been placed there. It is not just some sort of field camp for soldiers to be moved to the firing ranges. No, this is a forward camp for offensive equipment. The exercises are only set to last 10 days. Even the minimal time periods that soldiers have been told of do not match the official dates of the exercises. We see them [Russian forces] in the Bryansk, Kursk, and Rostov regions and on the territory of the annexed Crimea region. In all these locations there are troops and equipment, although the exercises are taking place in Belarus.”

author
Founder of the nongovernmental Conflict Intelligence Team (CIT)
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“We have strengthened the defense of Kyiv. We have gone through the war and due preparation. Therefore, we are ready to meet enemies and not with flowers, but with Stingers, Javelins and NLAW. Welcome to hell!”

author
Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine
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“If a Russian attack on Ukraine proceeds, it is likely to begin with aerial bombing and missile attacks that could obviously kill civilians. Any American in Ukraine should leave as soon as possible, and in any event in the next 24 to 48 hours.”

author
US National Security Adviser
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“Unfortunately, Ukraine needs to be objective at this stage. There are not sufficient military resources for repelling a full-scale attack by Russia if it begins without the support of Western forces. [After initial Russian airstrikes and rocket attacks aimed at ammunition depots and trench-bound troops] Very quickly the Ukrainian military would be incapacitated, its leadership unable to coordinate a defense and supply the front. After that responsibility would fall to frontline commanders to carry on the fight alone. They will hold up as long as there are bullets. They'll be able to use what they have in their hands, but believe me without delivery of reserves, there's not an army in the world that can hold out.”

author
Head of Ukraine's military intelligence service
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“It would be wrong to underestimate Russia, which has repeatedly shown that it is ready to use all instruments, including the military, to achieve its political goals and is not ashamed to break the agreements it has agreed upon. But the Ukrainian Army is much stronger today, so an attack on Ukraine would be a very risky step for Russia.”

author
Former chairman of the NATO Military Committee
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