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Russia invasion of Ukraine - Consequences on Russia politics and society

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Russia invasion of Ukraine - Consequences on Russia politics and society.
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“Russia is not going to collapse … but in terms of the impact on the Russian state as a powerful state able to sustain foreign military and political adventures, that's a very different matter. In terms of Russia's place in the world, it will be hard for the Russians - and certainly while Putin is in power - to not be considered essentially a pariah state. His legacy will be as someone who from arrogance and hubris […] has basically wasted years of rebuilding Russia's military, political, economic and soft power capabilities in the world.”

author
Director of the consultancy Mayak Intelligence
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“The dictatorial measures will not be sufficient to retain power … and at some point, the Russian government would need to start buying the loyalty of Russian citizens or subjugated Ukrainians, Belarusians with a more Keynesian redistributionist economic policy. Politics will also have to be reorganised to pave the way for the establishment of a party with a mass membership, able to rally the population around Putin's figure and imperialist ideology. It would not look exactly like fascism but the regime would be more mobilisationist.”

author
Ukrainian sociologist and research associate at the Institute of East European Studies, Freie Universität Berlin
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