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  • Baris Altintas
    Baris Altintas “MLSA [Media and Law Studies Association] lawyers are currently assisting detained journalists AFP photo-reporter Yasin Akgul, freelance photo reporter Bulent Kilic, and Zeynep Kuray at the Vatan Police Headquarters. Journalist Emre Orman, who is sought by police, is also a client of MLSA. MLSA will provide legal support to any journalists who do not have legal counsel.” 9 hours ago
  • Anitta Hipper
    Anitta Hipper “Let me recall the European Council's conclusion from 21 March, where the Council is also reiterating its unwavering support to Ukraine's independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity. And the last point on these referendums, that were a total sham and [conducted] at gunpoint. When it comes to the discussion on peace talks, our position is very clear, and I would like to reiterate two main points. One, the EU's position for peace is that it is for Ukraine to decide the actual conditions, and the second point that nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine.” 9 hours ago
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    Guo Jiakun “Let me stress that the report is completely false. China's position on the Ukraine crisis is clear and consistent.” 10 hours ago
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Romanian Politics: Considerations on Calin Georgescu, the Surprising Winner of the First Round of the Presidential Election

25 November, 2024 (Updated 28 Nov, 2024 - 20:10)

Election Results (with 99.98% of ballots counted, source AEP)

Calin Georgescu, an independent candidate, emerged as the unexpected leader in Romania’s presidential election first round. Despite predictions placing him far behind, Georgescu claimed 22.94% of the vote. He will now face pro-Western, center-right candidate Elena Lasconi in a runoff on December 8. The outcome is particularly surprising as Georgescu surpassed Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu of the Social Democratic Party, a first in Romania's post-communist history, leaving the ruling party without a candidate in the second round.

General Data on the Election

  • Turnout: Voter turnout was 51%, consistent with the figure from five years ago.
  • Diaspora: Over 800,000 Romanians living abroad participated, marking a record high.
  • Upcoming Events: Romania will hold its parliamentary elections on December 1, prior to the presidential runoff.

Who is Calin Georgescu?

Calin Georgescu, 62, is an independent candidate with a history of far-right leanings. He previously held positions in Romania’s environment ministry and represented Romania in the UN Environment Program from 1999 to 2012. Georgescu has been criticized for his pro-Russian stance, anti-NATO sentiments, and controversial statements about historical Romanian figures. He has also praised Russian President Vladimir Putin and made dismissive comments about Ukraine.

Georgescu was once part of the far-right Alliance for the Unity of Romanians (AUR) but left the party in 2022 due to internal conflicts. His political views are aligned with nationalism and conservatism, often citing support for the  Romanian Orthodox Church. Despite his past controversies, Georgescu’s surprising success has been attributed to his social media presence, particularly on TikTok, where he gained significant attention in the weeks leading up to the election.

The Electoral Process in Romania

The Romanian president is elected through a two-round system. If no candidate achieves more than 50% in the first round, a runoff is held between the top two candidates. The president holds significant powers, including oversight of foreign and defense policy and the authority to appoint the prime minister. This electoral process, alongside Romania’s ongoing political shifts, positions the presidential race as a key moment in the country’s political future.

The following IPSEs related to the context Romanian Politics: Considerations on Calin Georgescu, the Surprising Winner of the First Round of the Presidential Election are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“More than any of his opponents, Georgescu relied on TikTok to get his message out, said. Calin Georgescu is ideal for digital media, especially TikTok. Sell a dream, sell a vision. Social media was not created to inform us, but to convert us into buyers…. And the object on sale can also be ideas. And Mr. Georgescu sells ideas that catch on in social media.”

author
Media expert in Romania
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“He's [Calin Georgescu] just a guy who managed to use the social networks to make himself visible in a void for many Romanians who lost contact with political parties, at least with the elites in Bucharest. The mainstream political parties have lost the ability to use these new platforms. Politicians from Romania's traditional parties lacked messages of hope and no clear vision for their country ahead of the vote. The debates in these campaigns were very low in quality and ideas.”

author
Political consultant based in Bucharest
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“I believe that Georgescu's success, after largely conducting his campaign via social media, also marks a shift in the way political communication is conducted in Romania. It was the first election where social media has been more influential than television. We have seen how TikTok can defeat mainstream media.”

author
Romanian Journalist
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“The result of the vote was made possible because there is a significant demand in Romanian society for a politician like Georgescu. Why? I could give a more precise answer if there were high-quality sociological data on what Romanians want. Unfortunately, we lack such data.”

author
Political analyst
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“The support for Georgescu was unprecedented, with earlier opinions polls placing him at around 5% of the vote. Never in our 34 years of democracy have we seen such a surge compared to surveys.”

author
Political commentator
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“Romania is now in a historical confrontation between preserving Romania's young democracy … and those who want to return Romania to the Russian sphere of influence. Let us be very clear, Calin Georgescu is an open admirer of Vladimir Putin. He is open against NATO and the European Union … He is for Romania's isolation, which he calls neutrality ... And without NATO we are at the mercy of Russia.”

author
President of Save Romania Union (USR)
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“Georgescu won the anti-establishment vote. Many are tired of the existing party system, some don't feel represented by them. Because of Georgescu's softer stance on Russia, some trust him to be able to make peace with Russia, but it is illusionary to think that Romania can make an impact there. Georgescu won the diaspora vote, likely from labour migrants in Western Europe because the independent candidate gave them the idea that he would offer them a Romania that is worth returning home.”

author
Senior policy analyst at Belgium-based research institute European Policy Centre
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“The reality is that the votes that Georgescu got were protest votes against [the] current political class. The majority of Georgescu voters are unaware of his pro-Russia comments, which he said did not find wide resonance within Romania's population. Romanian voters did not want current PM Ciolacu or his coalition partners from the PNL to rise to the top job. Ciolacu's popularity has been falling amid allegations of corruption against him and of plagiarism against a coalition partner. Several anonymous TikTok accounts also boost Georgescu's content on the platform - and it is unclear whether they belong to real people or are bots. The voter discontent with the current government's handling of the economy drove them to seek an alternative candidate to vote out the incumbents. Georgescu was in the right place, at the swipe of their fingers on TikTok.”

author
Journalist and co-founder of Romanian news website Republica
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