“If by mid-October Ukrainian forces can break through the front lines in at least two directions and advance for at least 50km (30 miles), they will deal the Russian forces a heavy blow that will upturn the mobilisation. As a result, the inevitable loss of armoured vehicles and artillery will heavily impede the revitalisation of Russia's military might in occupied areas. But if there is no successful Ukrainian breakthrough, the Russians could restore the combat readiness of many front-line units. It doesn't mean they will be ready to attack, but they could hold the front line.”
22 Sep 2022
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