Check all the Authors in the last 24h
  • Carl Bildt
    Carl Bildt “The situation looks increasingly precarious for Russian forces in Lyman as Ukrainian forces are about to cut them off. Another painful defeat for the Russian invasion forces is looming.” 9 hours ago
  • António Guterres
    António Guterres “Any decision to proceed with the annexation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson and Zaporizhia regions of Ukraine would have no legal value and deserves to be condemned. I want to underscore that the so-called referenda were conducted during active armed conflict in areas under Russian occupation and outside Ukraine's legal and constitutional framework. They cannot be called genuine expression of the popular will.” 9 hours ago
  • Pao-Lin Tien
    Pao-Lin Tien “For the US, if inflation does not show signs of cooling in the last few months of 2022, and measures of inflation expectations start to climb, it would force the Federal Reserve to continue with aggressive rate hikes beyond 2022 into the spring of 2023 - in my opinion that's when the economy will tip into a recession. I think a similar situation would apply to other countries as well, if central banks are forced to increase rates aggressively and persistently, either to defend their currency or to tame inflation, then a recession is inevitable.” 18 hours ago
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Putin's partial mobilisation and potential consequences on the ground

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Putin's partial mobilisation and potential consequences on the ground.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“If by mid-October Ukrainian forces can break through the front lines in at least two directions and advance for at least 50km (30 miles), they will deal the Russian forces a heavy blow that will upturn the mobilisation. As a result, the inevitable loss of armoured vehicles and artillery will heavily impede the revitalisation of Russia's military might in occupied areas. But if there is no successful Ukrainian breakthrough, the Russians could restore the combat readiness of many front-line units. It doesn't mean they will be ready to attack, but they could hold the front line.”

Research Fellow at Bremen University
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