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North Korea launching two suspected ballistic missiles into the sea off its eastern coast - Considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context North Korea launching two suspected ballistic missiles into the sea off its eastern coast - Considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Ahn Chan-il
Ahn Chan-il

“Pyongyang is looking to highlight their presence on the world stage and their military capabilities. They are buying time this way and trying to leverage as much as they can from Seoul's proposal to declare the official end of the Korean War, as well as Washington's offer to talk without any preconditions.”

author
North Korea defector-turned-researcher
30 Sep 2021 2 6
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Leif-Eric Easley
Leif-Eric Easley

“Because of their speed and varied trajectories, hypersonic missiles are hard to detect, track and defend against. Advancements in fueling are intended to allow Pyongyang to fire the missiles quickly, making them more difficult for other countries to preemptively target and destroy before launch. It is unlikely that North Korea has reliably developed all the technologies its propaganda claims. However, if Pyongyang manages to fit a nuclear warhead on even a rudimentary hypersonic, it would be a dangerous weapon because it wouldn't have to be extremely accurate to threaten the nearby metropolis of Seoul.”

author
Professor at Ewha University in Seoul
28 Sep 2021 2 3
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Hong Min
Hong Min

“North Korea has a pattern of testing its missiles in springtime to showcase its military presence to the world. This was coupled by the regime's necessity to find out how the Biden administration will react to this type of actions. If the response is not what the North was desiring, the country may opt to test higher-grade or strategic weapons.”

author
Senior researcher at the state-run Korea Institute for National Unification
25 Mar 2021 3 3
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Harry Kazianis
Harry Kazianis

“This latest North Korean missile launch is most likely a reaction to U.S. President Joe Biden's downplaying and seeming to laugh off their weekend missile tests [Pyongyang firing two cruise missiles into the West Sea]. The Kim regime, just like during the Trump years, will react to even the slightest of what they feel are any sort of loss of face or disparaging comments coming out of Washington. … In the months ahead, we should expect the North Koreans to test bigger and more advanced missiles and a fiery response when the Biden North Korea policy is announced, which likely will be a pressure strategy to get the Kim regime to give up its nuclear weapons.”

author
Senior director of Korean Studies at the Center for the National Interest
25 Mar 2021 3 2
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Leif-Eric Easley
Leif-Eric Easley

“North Korea's military activities after reaffirming ties with Beijing raise questions about how China is complicit in sanctions evasion and may be enabling the Kim regime's threats to the region. This will increase calls in the US and elsewhere to sanction Chinese firms involved in illicit trade.”

author
Professor at Ewha University in Seoul
25 Mar 2021 3 4
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Rob McBride
Rob McBride

“This is a significant development. Apart from March last year, North Korea has largely avoided such provocative tests since denuclearisation talks broke down. It has returned to developing its arsenal but it has mostly been carrying out missiles that are not banned under UN resolutions as these tests are.”

author
Al Jazeera’s journalist
25 Mar 2021 2 1
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Leif-Eric Easley
Leif-Eric Easley

“With its return to testing different types of missiles, Pyongyang is flirting with the limits of what it can get away with under UN Security Council resolutions. The Moon government has doubled down on peace building engagement and the Biden administration is looking to complete a policy review before taking any major moves. Strategists in Tokyo worry that North Korea is taking provocative actions to undermine cooperation among Japan, South Korea and the United States. The three countries are trying to get on the same page about deterrence, sanctions and engagement.”

author
Professor at Ewha University in Seoul
25 Mar 2021 6 3
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