“The issue of deterrence has always been of paramount importance in a volatile region like West Asia. But in the wake of the past year's events, the concept of deterrence has transcended the realm of academic discourse and become a subject of contemplation not only for researchers and analysts but also for ordinary citizens. Despite Israel's status as a nuclear power and Tehran's lack thereof, Iran has twice attempted to establish deterrence against Israel within the past year. Once in April when Israel attacked the Iranian embassy in Damascus, and once earlier this month in response to the regime's assassination of Hamas' Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. Both operations against Israel, which involved the firing of hundreds of drones and missiles at the occupied territories, have been successful and Israel has decided to de-escalate in return. However, given the rogue nature of the regime, nobody knows if Iran will have to make similar decisions in the future. That's why more and more people are thinking about nuclear weapons. Because Israel has them, and Iran doesn't.”
08 Oct 2024
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