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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Igor Grosu
    Igor Grosu “The plebiscite is a chance for Moldovans to show loudly and clearly that we are Europeans. ... We are not entering Europe, we are returning to it.” 11 hours ago
  • Maia Sandu
    Maia Sandu “Joining the EU is the best thing we can give this and future generations.” 11 hours ago
  • Igor Dodon
    Igor Dodon “We are categorically opposed to this referendum. We are not saying 'no' to talks with the EU and we are not opposed to the EU. We oppose Sandu using it as an instrument for her own interests and those of her party. We are therefore asking voters during the campaign not to take part in the referendum.” 11 hours ago
  • Ben Hodges
    Ben Hodges “Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.” 13 hours ago
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Iraq politics

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Iraq politics.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“This [the violence] was certainly the possible beginning or spark of a Shia-Shia civil war. The violence may have subsided for now, but retributions are to be expected. This violence is indicative of the bitter divisions and deadlock in Iraqi politics. It may be ratcheted down for now, but without a proper solution it will appear again in the future.”

author
Iraqi politics researcher at the Century Foundation
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“These protesters have been sleeping, praying, chanting against the Coordination Framework and chanting against [former prime minister] Nouri al-Maliki, whom they accuse of corruption and mismanagement. They say al-Sudani is a replica of al-Maliki. Despite calls for calm from local and international institutions, these protesters seem to be determined to continue their sit-in until their demands are met.”

author
Journalist of Al Jazeera
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“The major political blocs have the ability to find a solution to the deadlock, but there is no serious will to do so. The option of dissolving the parliament is not serious, as many parliamentarians might not be able to win the seats they did in the last election. As always, Iraqis are the big losers of the political process and the governments that have come since the US invasion of Iraq in 2003. We [Iraqis] are still paying the bill of the current parliamentary failure, and we are entering into an unknown future. It is not logical to solve one problem [deadlock] by creating another problem [dissolving the parliament]. Even if the parliament were dissolved, and a new one elected, what is the guarantee that the next parliament will not have the same problem?”

author
Iraqi political analyst
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“The Iranians are finding it increasingly difficult to control allies who have their own interests and who won't be told no for an answer.”

author
Iraq watcher and professor of international relations at the London School of Economics
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“Sunday's attack is not just an attack on al-Kadhimi, it is also an attack against the political class. It really amounts to a coup attempt. While there has been no claim of responsibility, there's a lot of circumstantial evidence pointing to the Iran-backed Iraqi militias. Recently, some members of the militias have been indicted for killing some of the protesters two years ago. And al-Kadhimi's late adviser, Hisham al-Hashemi, was assassinated by suspected members of these militias. So they and al-Kadhimi have been engaged in this tug of war and they stand to benefit most from forcing al-Kadhimi out of the picture. But in my opinion, it's a very stupid and shortsighted move, because if anything it's going to make al-Kadhimi a victim and will elevate his political chances of going back to the prime minister's office.”

author
Director of the Conflict Resolution and Track Two Dialogues Program at the Middle East Institute
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“Sadr [Muqtada al-Sadr] claims that the next government will be a Sadrist one and the prime minister a staunch Sadrist and it may become a reality, but other partners will be needed to form a government and the risk of taking sole responsibility for government failures may mean that he accepts a coalition that reduces the Sadrist identity of the government.”

author
Fellow at Century International and director of the Shia Politics Working Group
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“Sadr's [Muqtada al-Sadr] strategy to maintain followership is his claim to be a reformer. Using this claim, he has supported the Tishreen/October Movement for months until Iran called on him to withdraw this support. His flip-flopping on this particular matter may have cost him some followers, but for the most part, his followership is blindly loyal and truly believes in his image as a reformer. On this basis, I can see Sadr avoiding the premiership to maintain his claim to reform. His party also is strategic in its alliances. In the 2018 election, it allied with the Communist Party of Iraq to maintain this reform title. This is all ironic, considering that he has had Sadrists in previous cabinets holding ministries such as the very deteriorating Ministry of Health while claiming to bring about reform.”

author
Postdoctoral researcher at Lancaster University & Project SEPAD
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“I think he [Muqtada al-Sadr] has his own space in which he walks, and his base is not dictated by any country, especially not the Iranians. I think that he is much less sectarian than many, many others because he has a nationalist vision of Iraq.”

author
Director at the United States Institute of Peace, a U.S. government-funded think tank
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“Nothing will happen … the same leaders, same list, same schedule, and the same plan and goal, nothing will happen on the ground. All the dreams, all the hopes, all the demands of the Iraqi people are gone with the wind … many people expected that something will change with these elections but maybe [we will see] just some few changes.”

author
Professor of International Relations at Mustansiriyah University in Baghdad
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“Muqtada [al-Sadr] has been working a great deal to win a lead in the election. They [the Sadrists] have a good election machine, and they use all kinds of means to achieve their goals. Also, Muqtada isn't so far away from Iran himself. Eventually, all groups will sit together and form a government under the umbrella of the Iranian regime. Muqtada has been the main political player in Iraq since 2005. No Iraqi prime minister has taken that position without the tacit consent of al-Sadr.”

author
Iraq analyst
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“We will have to honour the results, but we are back to the purple finger fatigue. People have been going to the polls for 18 years, but they can't see any change and people are getting fed up.”

author
Independent Iraqi politician and former economic adviser to the government
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“The election was called early to meet one of the demands of nationwide protests. However, the election campaign was then totally undermined by a carefully deployed campaign of targeted assassinations against the very same protest movement that called for elections. In these circumstances, the new government will have little legitimacy and will certainly have no answers to the chronic problems, both political and economic, that Iraq faces. If the international community attempts to see this election as a success they are ignoring the violence that has dogged the campaign and the refusal of an alienated youth to participate.”

author
Iraq watcher and professor of international relations at the London School of Economics
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“The expectations of low turnout are widely based on disillusionment among people, especially the youth. Most of the disillusioned are those who rose up against corruption and mismanagement in 2019 in what is known as the Tishreen [October] revolution.”

author
Journalist of Al Jazeera reporting from Baghdad
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“Sadrist can't form its own government without a coalition, and years of experiences have taught them that working with Iran is an unavoidable part.”

author
Iraqi politics researcher at the Century Foundation
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“Iraq's slow path towards elections exacerbates increasingly precarious political, social and economic conditions that have fuelled protests across recent years. Fundamental to this are competing visions of the nature of Iraqi politics and the role of religion – and Iran – in the political sphere. While some groups are pushing for the de-sectarianisation of Iraqi politics – the reimagining or removal of religion and religious actors from political life – others are vehemently opposed to such processes.”

author
Professor of international politics at Lancaster University
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“The American occupation will not be safe from our strikes in any inch of the homeland, even in Kurdistan, where we promise we will carry out other qualitative operations.”

author
Statement of the Awliyaa al-Dam Shia group
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