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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Igor Grosu
    Igor Grosu “The plebiscite is a chance for Moldovans to show loudly and clearly that we are Europeans. ... We are not entering Europe, we are returning to it.” 8 hours ago
  • Maia Sandu
    Maia Sandu “Joining the EU is the best thing we can give this and future generations.” 8 hours ago
  • Igor Dodon
    Igor Dodon “We are categorically opposed to this referendum. We are not saying 'no' to talks with the EU and we are not opposed to the EU. We oppose Sandu using it as an instrument for her own interests and those of her party. We are therefore asking voters during the campaign not to take part in the referendum.” 8 hours ago
  • Ben Hodges
    Ben Hodges “Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.” 10 hours ago
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Inter-Korean relations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Inter-Korean relations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

“All of a sudden South Korea's rhetoric became even more hostile towards Pyongyang. In Japan as well, we hear aggressive rhetoric and it is seriously talking about setting up NATO infrastructure with U.S. assistance. They're preparing for war with the DPRK.”

author
Russian Foreign Minister
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“As already declared, the KPA [Korean People's Army] will launch an immediate military strike if the enemy makes even a slight provocation.”

author
North Korean politician serving as the Deputy Director of the United Front Department of the Workers' Party of Korea
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“Kim [Kim Jong-un] has officially declared his intention not to engage in any dialogue with the Yoon Suk Yeol administration. It's a clear indication that Pyongyang will walk away from inter-Korean relations. If you read between the lines, what Kim meant is that his regime will achieve its ultimate goal of unification through the use of force, not through peaceful means. It seeks the collapse of South Korea.”

author
Senior analyst at the Korea Institute for National Unification
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“I believe that it is a mistake that we must no longer make to deal with the people who declare us as 'the main enemy' and seek opportunities for 'our regime collapse' and 'unification by absorption' by collaborating for reconciliation and unification.”

author
Leader of North Korea
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“Tension on the peninsula is likely to reach its peak in coming months as North Korea is accelerating its military actions with higher frequency, and her [Kim Yo Jong's] statement indicates that it would continue impromptu missile tests using the Pacific as its shooting range.”

author
Professor at the University of North Korean Studies
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“This year could be a year of crisis with military tension on the Korean peninsula going beyond what it was like in 2017. North Korea's hardline stance … and aggressive weapons development when met with South Korea-US joint exercises and proportional response could raise the tension in a flash, and we cannot rule out what's similar to a regional conflict when the two sides have a misunderstanding of the situation.”

author
Senior researcher at the state-run Korea Institute for National Unification
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“My view is that Pyongyang has not yet received any proposal which it sees as meeting its two criteria, which it made clear through North Korea's ambassador to the United Nations in New York in September 2020. They said any proposal for talks must make possible economic modernization and show them respect. The Audacious Initiative proposed by the Yoon Suk-yeol administration offers modernization but does not show the North respect, as it is effectively another form of aid package.”

author
U.K. social entrepreneur who was behind forging a path to help overcome apartheid in South Africa and other peacebuilding efforts in the continent
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“This type of material provocation by the North is always followed by a political offensive and socio-psychological offensive aimed at reunifying the Korean Peninsula under communism. The top priority is having a firm awareness of the enemy and a strong commitment to defending the Constitution by upholding our liberal democracy.”

author
President of South Korea
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“I will make North Korea clearly realize that should it attempt to use nuclear arms, it would face the overwhelming response from the South Korea-U.S. alliance and our military, and there would be no scenario for regime survival anymore.”

author
South Korea's Top Military Officer - Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) Chairman
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“Unlike Moon Jae-in, whose focus was pretty much on inter-Korean relations and within the Korean Peninsula, Yoon pursues values-based internationalism and seeks to deal with the North Korea issue under that frame.”

author
Political scientist at Ewha Womans University in Seoul
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“The door for dialogue is open. If North Korea embarks on substantial denuclearisation, we will prepare an audacious plan to improve North Korea's economy and the quality of life for North Korean people in cooperation with the international community.”

author
President of South Korea
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“There's no reason to avoid meeting [Kim Jong-un]. However, if we are not be able to show any results, or results are just for show and does not have actual results in denuclearisation… it's not going to help the relationship between the two Koreas progress.”

author
South Korea President-elect
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“North Korea's denuclearization is the only path toward the normalization of inter-Korean relations. One of the biggest stumbling blocks to inter-Korean ties is the nuclear issue. Now that inter-Korean dialogue has discontinued and North Korea has been revving up its missile provocations, I am agonizing over how to create momentum for inter-Korean dialogue.”

author
South Korea Unification Minister nominee
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“The looming prospect of possible nuclear tests, more joint U.S.-South Korea military drills, and the new conservative South Korean president mean all conditions are present for a tit-for-tat chain reaction of escalatory steps. Though Biden would prefer to focus exclusively on the Ukraine crisis, it's likely he will soon face crisis-level tensions between the Koreas.”

author
CEO of Korea Risk Group
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“I will respond decisively to the illegal and unreasonable behaviors of North Korea based on principles, while always keeping the door for inter-Korean dialogue open. I will rebuild the ROK-U.S. alliance and strengthen the comprehensive strategic alliance, while sharing the core values of liberal democracy, a market economy and human rights. I will develop bilateral relations of mutual respect between Korea and China and create a future-oriented Korea-Japan relationship.”

author
South Korea President-elect
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“It has been some 20 years since the idea of an end-of-war declaration was first floated, but now is the first time that all four related countries - South and North Korea, the U.S. and China - have agreed 'in principle' and shown positive responses to an end-of-war declaration. The issue had been mentioned separately by those countries over the years, but since the President's proposal in September, all the relevant parties have concurred on the declaration in principle and in theory. In that respect, it is the best time to pursue the end-of-war declaration.”

author
South Korea Minister of Unification
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“Peace on the Korean Peninsula does not come by itself and tensions are sometimes created on the Korean Peninsula. There are concerns that this could create tension and deepen the stalemate in inter-Korean relations. However, we must not let go of the chance for dialogue to fundamentally overcome this situation. North Korea should also make more serious efforts for dialogue. When the two Koreas work together and trust is built between them, peace will come to our side one day.”

author
President of South Korea
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“His extremely cursory mention of inter-Korean relations and foreign policy indicates that North Korea was not ready to come out for contacts with South Korea or the United States in the new year. Faced with the pandemic, North Korea is expected to continue to keep its borders shut, focusing on self-reliance and conducting only the minimum of essential trade with China.”

author
Director of the Center for North Korean Studies at the Sejong Institute
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“Lee [Lee Jae-myung] has consistently called for a universal basic income. He is currently taking a rather soft position on the matter, saying he would not unilaterally push for the basic income policy without social consensus. But it is likely that he would put a stronger drive into introducing a basic income once elected. In contrast, Yoon [Yoon Suk-yeol] would shift the focus of economic policies to encouraging entrepreneurial growth over wealth distribution, introducing more business-friendly policies by easing regulations and offering tax incentives. If Yoon is elected, he would emphasize the principle that denuclearization should come first before inter-Korean cooperation, whereas Lee would continue the engagement policies pursued by the Roh Moo-hyun and Moon Jae-in governments. For other neighboring countries, Lee would try to strike a balance between China and the U.S. amid their growing rivalry, but it would be hard to expect that bilateral relations between South Korea and Japan could improve under Lee's leadership, as he is focused on the historical issues between the countries. For Yoon, it is obvious that he would be committed to strengthening the South Korea-U.S. alliance and improving relations with Japan, considering the figures selected as members of his election camp.”

author
Opinion poll expert and head of Insight K
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