“Economic collapse could stimulate the production of more illicit drugs. If there is no way to fund a government, there won't be any more government jobs. A lot of people may head back to the land. Opium poppy cultivation is a very labour-intensive job. If there's more labour, there might be more opium. Whether that happens will be a function of how the Taliban chooses to run the country and how Western donors choose to engage with the Taliban. The imposition of widespread sanctions could well fuel an economic crisis that would lead to large numbers of refugees and increased levels of drug production, that would undoubtedly impact the region and Europe.”
24 Aug 2021
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