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Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context Denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Ellen Kim
Ellen Kim

“The current diplomatic impasse is clearly due to North Korea's disinterest in talks with the U.S. and South Korea, which seems in part because North Korea wants to signal that the complete, verifiable, irreversible denuclearization (CVID) of North Korea is off the negotiation table. But if North Korea's internal and/or external (particularly with respect to China and Russia) environment changes, there could be a window of opportunity that North Korea may want to resume dialogue with the United States and/or South Korea to seek a partial sanctions relief and other things. We should not give up the North's denuclearization because if we do that, this will make North Korea believe that their strategy of nuclear coercion works and could lead the country to make miscalculations and become more aggressive.”

author
Deputy director of the Korea Chair at the Washington-based think tank, Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS)
15 Dec 2022 4 5
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Kwon Young-se
Kwon Young-se

“Since its launch, the Yoon Suk-yeol administration has put in all efforts within our capacity for a virtuous cycle of North Korea's denuclearization and improving inter-Korean relations while fulfilling agreements of the past administrations and offering our audacious plan. But North Korea has rejected our calls, distorting and denigrating (our plan) saying it is no different from the past.”

author
South Korea Unification Minister
19 Sep 2022 3 3
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Scott Snyder
Scott Snyder

“If we consider the lessons learned from Hanoi, one possible lesson Kim Jong-un may have taken from the experience is that from his perspective, the United States did not take sufficiently seriously the idea that the North was negotiating from a position of strength. North Korea is asserting that its laws make denuclearization negotiations a non-starter. As a result, it is hard to imagine how the United States and North Korea will be able to frame a diplomatic negotiation process around a set of commonly held objectives. A logical course of action would be to further strengthen the North's military program so that its nuclear capabilities would be regarded as undeniable and irreversible. Once North Korea's Kim believes he has adequately achieved those objectives, he might in principle then be ready to return to diplomatic negotiations with the United States, but from an even stronger position than the North's Kim was in when he met with Trump in Hanoi in February of 2019.”

author
Senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations think tank
15 Sep 2022 5 4
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Chun Chae-sung
Chun Chae-sung

“The current (Yoon Suk-yeol) government has this last opportunity for denuclearization. Perhaps, we have already missed it. North Korea perceives the current situation as a new Cold War and has strengthened relations with China and Russia … This means that North Korea's need for U.S. security guarantees and, therefore, reasons for abandoning its nuclear weapons will decrease.”

author
Professor of political science and international relations at Seoul National University
31 Aug 2022 5 4
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Scott Snyder
Scott Snyder

“Yoon's initiative adds to a long list of failed offers involving South Korean promises to provide economic benefits to North Korea … These were the same assumptions that were behind a succession of failed efforts to jump-start denuclearisation talks. The acuteness of North Korea's economic vulnerability will make the leadership all the more resistant towards South Korean-proposed infrastructure projects.”

author
Senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations think tank
18 Aug 2022 3 3
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Artyom Lukin
Artyom Lukin

“It seemed like the United States wanted to provoke and produce this split in the Security Council, knowing that China and Russia would not support the resolution. Moscow and Beijing appear somewhat tolerant of North Korea's resuming long-range missile launches, but it is far from clear that Pyongyang has Russia's and China's consent, tacit or otherwise, for a nuclear test. Nuclear testing is seen by Beijing, and especially Moscow, as a far more serious matter, compared to missile testing. Nevertheless, Russia sees the Ukraine crisis as a proxy war with the United States, and the war is now bleeding into the situation around North Korea. Even though Moscow and Washington have a real shared interest in the denuclearisation of North Korea, it has now become extremely difficult, if not impossible, for them to collaborate.”

author
Associate professor with Russia’s Far Eastern Federal University
27 May 2022 6 8
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Yoon Seok-youl
Yoon Seok-youl

“If North Korea genuinely embarks on a process to complete denuclearization, we are prepared to work with the international community to present an audacious plan that will vastly strengthen North Korea's economy and improve the quality of life for its people.”

author
President of South Korea
10 May 2022 2 4
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Yoon Seok-youl
Yoon Seok-youl

“There's no reason to avoid meeting [Kim Jong-un]. However, if we are not be able to show any results, or results are just for show and does not have actual results in denuclearisation… it's not going to help the relationship between the two Koreas progress.”

author
South Korea President-elect
07 May 2022 (approx) 3 3
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Kwon Young-se
Kwon Young-se

“There has been a common understanding between me and Kim [Sung Kim] that South Korea can secure greater room in addressing North Korea's denuclearization or other issues when the relations between Seoul and Washington become stronger.”

author
South Korea Unification Minister nominee
21 Apr 2022 5 4
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Moon Jae-in
Moon Jae-in

“North Korea has kept its moratorium on nuclear tests and ICBM [intercontinental ballistic missiles] launches so far while expressing a willingness for dialogue. But if it did fire an intermediate-range ballistic missile, we can consider it has moved closer to scrapping the moratorium. The latest launch was a challenge to the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula, peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, and diplomatic efforts by the international community, as well as an act that violates the U.N. Security Council resolution.”

author
President of South Korea
30 Jan 2022 7 3
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Bae Jong-chan
Bae Jong-chan

“Lee [Lee Jae-myung] has consistently called for a universal basic income. He is currently taking a rather soft position on the matter, saying he would not unilaterally push for the basic income policy without social consensus. But it is likely that he would put a stronger drive into introducing a basic income once elected. In contrast, Yoon [Yoon Suk-yeol] would shift the focus of economic policies to encouraging entrepreneurial growth over wealth distribution, introducing more business-friendly policies by easing regulations and offering tax incentives. If Yoon is elected, he would emphasize the principle that denuclearization should come first before inter-Korean cooperation, whereas Lee would continue the engagement policies pursued by the Roh Moo-hyun and Moon Jae-in governments. For other neighboring countries, Lee would try to strike a balance between China and the U.S. amid their growing rivalry, but it would be hard to expect that bilateral relations between South Korea and Japan could improve under Lee's leadership, as he is focused on the historical issues between the countries. For Yoon, it is obvious that he would be committed to strengthening the South Korea-U.S. alliance and improving relations with Japan, considering the figures selected as members of his election camp.”

author
Opinion poll expert and head of Insight K
01 Jan 2022 5 8
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Andrei Lankov
Andrei Lankov

“North Korea is not going to surrender its nuclear weapons, no matter what. The only topic they are willing to talk about is not the pipe dream of denuclearization but rather issues related to arms control. Kim may benefit, however, from the Washington-Beijing confrontation, which increases North Korea's strategic value to China. Instead of growth, North Korea will have stagnation, but not an acute crisis. For Kim Jong-un and his elite, it's an acceptable compromise.”

author
Professor at Seoul's Kookmin University
14 Dec 2021 5 3
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Yang Moo-jin
Yang Moo-jin

“The declaration is a very meaningful measure, as a gateway to peace and as a catalyst for negotiations on denuclearization, and could become an important starting point for making a new order for the two Koreas. The two leaders of South and North Korea confirmed in the 2018 Panmunjeom Declaration as well as in the North-South Korea Summit Declaration on Oct. 4, 2007 that ending the abnormal conflict halted with an armistice for the last 68 years is a historical task that cannot be continuously deferred.”

author
Professor at the University of North Korean Studies
06 Dec 2021 3 5
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Moon Jae-in
Moon Jae-in

“I propose that three parties of the two Koreas and the U.S., or four parties of the two Koreas, the U.S. and China come together and declare that the War on the Korean Peninsula is over. When the parties involved in the Korean War stand together and proclaim an end to the War, I believe we can make irreversible progress in denuclearization and usher in an era of complete peace. I expect that the international community, together with Korea, remain always ready and willing to reach out to North Korea in a cooperative spirit.”

author
President of South Korea
21 Sep 2021 5 5
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Jessica Lee
Jessica Lee

“U.S. Special Representative for North Korea Policy Sung Kim's recent remarks that the United States would provide humanitarian assistance to North Korea regardless of progress in denuclearization is a good first step, but more is needed. There is a total absence of trust between the two countries; North Korea will not accept any aid that is linked to the United States because it believes Washington will politicize it. Yet during this time of a pandemic, humanitarian work can be a powerful tool for trust-building and generate goodwill at the people-to-people level.”

author
Senior research fellow at the Washington-based Quincy Institute
16 Sep 2021 5 3
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Moon Jae-in
Moon Jae-in

“I expect China's steadfast support for denuclearization and peace on the Korean Peninsula. I hope the upcoming Beijing Winter Olympics will become another opportunity for improving relations with North Korea, following the 2018 PyeongChang Winter Olympics.”

author
President of South Korea
15 Sep 2021 6 6
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Kim Sung
Kim Sung

“We are prepared to work cooperatively with the DPRK to address areas of humanitarian concerns regardless of progress on denuclearization. The United States supports the provision of humanitarian aid, consistent with international standards, for access and monitoring to the most vulnerable North Koreans.”

author
US Special Representative for North Korea
14 Sep 2021 4 4
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Park Won-gon
Park Won-gon

“The U.S. appears to be taking advantage of its nuclear talks with South Korea as a means to ensure cooperation - in other words, to have Seoul on Washington's side. South Korea is seen by some as the weakest link among the Washington-Seoul-Tokyo trilateral security structure, so the Biden administration is trying to keep the country in check in its policy toward North Korea. In that sense, the two sides have held multi-level talks.”

author
Professor of North Korean studies at Ewha Womans University
12 Sep 2021 4 6
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Ramon Pacheco Pardo
Ramon Pacheco Pardo

“The ultimate goal will always remain denuclearization. But statements by Vice President Kamala Harris and Secretary of State Antony Blinken in years past suggest that they knew that outright denuclearization wasn't realistic. Since the Biden administration took office, the U.S. has signaled its willingness to negotiate. To me, this suggests that the administration has accepted that a step-by-step approach is the only viable way to address the North Korean nuclear issue.”

author
Professor of international relations at King's College London
03 Sep 2021 4 5
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Leif-Eric Easley
Leif-Eric Easley

“North Korea's amped up rhetoric against scaled down US-South Korea defence exercises appears to be more about domestic politics than signalling to Washington. The Kim [Kim Jong-un] regime is shifting blame for its struggles to restart the economy after a long, self-imposed pandemic lockdown. Pyongyang is also trying to pressure South Korean presidential candidates to express differences with US policy on sanctions and denuclearisation.”

author
Professor at Ewha University in Seoul
13 Aug 2021 3 6
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