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  • Sergei Shoigu
    Sergei Shoigu “In proportion to the threats posed by the United States and its allies, we will continue to improve the composition and structure of the armed forces and increase the production of the most popular weapons and military equipment. We will increase the intensity of attacks on logistics centres and storage bases for Western weapons.” 2 minutes ago
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    Kyrylo Budanov “According to our assessment, we are anticipating a rather difficult situation shortly. However, it is not catastrophic, and this must be understood. Armageddon will not happen, despite what many are starting to claim. But we anticipate problems from mid-May. The Russians will adopt a multifaceted approach. They are orchestrating a complex operation... It will be a difficult period. [Expect this to unfold] around mid-May to early June.” 17 hours ago
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    Iranian Presidential Office “The Islamic Republic of Iran, in line with the neighbourhood policy … is interested in promoting relations with Pakistan and during this trip, various issues including economic and commercial issues, energy and border issues will be discussed with the government of Pakistan.” 22 hours ago
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China - US conflict over Taiwan - Considerations

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context China - US conflict over Taiwan - Considerations.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Mark Cancian
Mark Cancian

“War with China would produce destruction on a scale unseen by the United States since 1945. Deterrence is possible and affordable, but it will require planning, some resources and political will. In four weeks of fighting, the United States typically lost hundreds of aircraft, two aircraft carriers and up to two dozen other ships. Bases on Guam were devastated. The Taiwanese economy suffered extensive damage. Japan was often dragged into war. China also took terrible losses, often including more than 100 warships and tens of thousands of soldiers killed, wounded or captured. Such a failure might endanger the Chinese Communist Party's grip on power.”

author
Senior adviser with the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) International Security Program and former U.S. Marine Corps colonel
10 Jan 2023 6 3
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Michael O'Hanlon
Michael O'Hanlon

“Neither [China and United States] has, or likely will achieve, the credible capability to attain all-out victory against the other, in light of the nuclear arsenals available to each side. Were China to attempt to take Taiwan by force and fail, the former would not simply abandon its mission. Instead, it would try other means, be they military or economic, to annex Taiwan, leading to a prolonged conflict. Conversely, were China to attack and win a fight against Taiwanese and U.S.-allied forces, an embittered U.S. and its allies would be certain to try to open another battlefront against China at a later stage, further endangering world peace.”

author
Senior fellow at The Brookings Institution
19 Jan 2022 4 3
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Yin Dongyu
Yin Dongyu

“The increasingly loud voices sounding alarm of a potential China-US conflict in the South China Sea mostly came from the fact that the US is now seeing China on equal footing because of the latter's growing army. And that's quite a good indication of China's growing military strength already. No one can say without hesitation whether China and the US would go into real conflict over Taiwan or South China Sea, but with China's growing army, no one wants to see that happen. China's military strength has been significantly boosted by a large number of new weapons being added to the arsenal, especially in its Navy force. That's where the country's army is showing some of its fastest growth.”

author
Beijing-based analyst on the Chinese military
29 Oct 2021 6 4
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Daniel Davis
Daniel Davis

“Bluntly put, America should refuse to be drawn into a no-win war with Beijing. It needs to be said up front: there would be no palatable choice for Washington if China finally makes good on its decades-long threat to take Taiwan by force. Either choose a bad, bitter-tasting outcome or a self-destructive one in which our existence is put at risk.”

author
Senior fellow for defense priorities and a former lieutenant colonel in the US army
05 Oct 2021 2 5
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Zhongping Song
Zhongping Song

“The US warship's transit through the Taiwan Straits is about sending a provocative message, and to encourage Taiwan secessionism, but the US military is not ready for a war with the PLA. So the PLA's [People's Liberation Army] action in the region is not just targeting any specific move made by the US, because the US' intention is clear, and what the PLA is doing is about preparing for the worst case scenario - an all-out military intervention made by US and its allies, and only by doing so, the PLA will be able to defeat all kinds of enemies, especially the foreign interventionist forces, when China launches an operation to reunify Taiwan with the mainland. There is no secret that the military exercises the PLA has conducted around Taiwan are targeting secessionist forces on the island and any foreign forces that support them. We can openly tell them that we are treating them as simulated enemies during those relevant military exercises.”

author
Chinese mainland military expert and TV commentator
18 Sep 2021 9 7
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Kurt Campbell
Kurt Campbell

“I think it [any conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan] would broaden quickly and it would fundamentally trash the global economy in ways that I don't think anyone can predict.”

author
White House (Biden administration) Indo-Pacific coordinator
04 May 2021 3 3
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