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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Itamar Ben-Gvir
    Itamar Ben-Gvir “I have no doubt that Netanyahu will bring me in [the war cabinet]. I think Netanyahu understands very well what I want from him. We have private conversations and in private conversations I allow myself to tell him many things.” 56 minutes ago
  • William Lai
    William Lai “I hope that China will face the reality of the Republic of China's existence and in good faith ... engage in cooperation with the legal government chosen by Taiwan's people.” 1 hour ago
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    John Kirby “When it comes to Iranian policy, it is Khamenei who calls the shots, not the president. So we don't anticipate any change in Iranian behavior. And therefore the Iranians should not expect any change in American behavior when it comes to holding them accountable.” 1 hour ago
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    Ali Vaez “The upcoming election offers an opportunity for the clerical establishment to pursue a different course by allowing a relatively competitive vote. But I suspect that the regime is dedicating all its efforts to preparing for a succession after Khamenei, striving to create homogeneous conditions at the top of the power pyramid, and not allowing any rivals into this circle.” 1 hour ago
  • Sanam Vakil
    Sanam Vakil “[Raisi] was a loyal functionary willing to do the bidding of the supreme leader through multiple institutions. There are no obvious candidates that can tick a lot of boxes.” 1 hour ago
  • Hamidreza Azizi
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  • Lauren Easton
    Lauren Easton “The Associated Press decries in the strongest terms the actions of the Israeli government to shut down our longstanding live feed showing a view into Gaza and seize AP equipment. The shutdown was not based on the content of the feed but rather an abusive use by the Israeli government of the country's new foreign broadcaster law. We urge the Israeli authorities to return our equipment and enable us to reinstate our live feed immediately so we can continue to provide this important visual journalism to thousands of media outlets around the world.” 7 hours ago
  • Itamar Ben-Gvir
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  • Donald Tusk
    Donald Tusk “An attempt to show that the prime minister of Israel and the leaders of terrorist organisations are the same, and the involvement of international institutions in this, is unacceptable.” 7 hours ago
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  • John Holman
    John Holman “Few question his ongoing legitimacy and he [Zelenskyy] remains popular. Although lower than before, his approval rating's still above 60 percent. Many Ukrainians also feel an election would be unrealistic and disrupt the war effort. In a poll this March [2024], 78 percent of those asked said they were against elections before the end of the war. But in addition to that there's also the practical difficulties. Some Ukrainian towns are in ruins. Many power plants have been hit so there's rolling blackouts. And perhaps most importantly, there's 8 million people displaced, 5 million outside the country.” 7 hours ago
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China invasion of Taiwan - Timing

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context China invasion of Taiwan - Timing.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Mark Milley
Mark Milley

“Taiwan is a defensible island. We just need to help the Taiwanese to defend it a little bit better. China is continuing to develop significant nuclear, space, cyber, land, air and maritime military capabilities. They are working every day to close the technology gap with the US and its allies. In short, they remain intent on fundamentally revising the global international order in their favor by mid-century, they intend to be a military peer of the US by 2035 and they intend to develop the military capabilities to seize Taiwan by 2027.”

author
US Army general and the 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
07 Apr 2022 3 6
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Jin Canrong
Jin Canrong

“Once the National Congress of the Communist Party of China is over in the fall of 2022, the scenario of armed unification will move toward becoming a reality. It is very likely that the leadership will move toward armed unification by 2027, the 100th anniversary of the PLA's [People's Liberation Army] founding.”

author
Associate dean of the Renmin University of China's School of International Studies
06 Feb 2022 4 4
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Philip Davidson
Philip Davidson

“I believe the next six years is going to be a very worrying time for Taiwan, the U.S., Japan, and all of East Asia. I still believe that now. The PLA's training and war plans for conflict scenarios in the Taiwan Strait all aim at stopping the U.S. from intervening and coming to Taiwan's aid. The U.S. and its allies must let China know that it will pay a huge price if it continues its aggression.”

author
Former US Navy Admiral
20 Dec 2021 5 4
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Wen-Ti Sung
Wen-Ti Sung

“We're seeing estimates that put the year at 2027 more or less in terms of China having sufficient conventional superiority for a successful offensive, and if you talk to more military crowd, and they will tell you, maybe it's closer to 2035. But that's the straight line projection number. If you take into account other kinds of hawks of war or the possibility of additional friends and allies (of Taiwan) coming to participate in this situation, then we're probably pushing the timeline back further into the future.”

author
Lecturer at Australian National University’s Taiwan Studies Programme
23 Nov 2021 3 3
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Chiu Kuo-cheng
Chiu Kuo-cheng

“The People's Liberation Army (PLA) currently has the ability to invade Taiwan but indicated that it probably will not immediately attack unless provoked because it would have to pay a price. By 2025, China's costs and attrition will be brought to the lowest level and it will have the ability to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan.”

author
Taiwan's Minister of National Defense
06 Oct 2021 4 5
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