“Ultimately, on the question of whether China will use force, Chinese leaders' perceptions of their chances of victory will matter more than their actual chances of victory. For that reason, it is bad news that Chinese analysts and officials increasingly express confidence that the PLA [People's Liberation Army] is well prepared for a military confrontation with the United States over Taiwan. Although Chinese strategists acknowledge the United States' general military superiority, many have come to believe that because China is closer to Taiwan and cares about it more, the local balance of power tips in Beijing's favor.”
03 Jun 2021
(approx)
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