China invasion of Taiwan - Considerations in Taiwan | Ipse by Context

Wellington Koo

Inserted 5 months ago

“The Chinese leadership is divided into two camps regarding the country's overall strategy. A Chinese State Council-based group is advocating economic development, while a national security group is pushing for an aggressive stance on the world stage. Although the national security wing holds sway over policymaking, the Chinese government would probably act cautiously in the immediate future. Addressing economic problems stemming from declining foreign investments, local government debt, rising youth unemployment and weak domestic demand would likely absorb Beijing's attention. China's economy could face devastating consequences if Beijing pursues policies that could scare away foreign investors and businesspeople, including from Taiwan.”

Taipeitimes

Taiwan National Security Council (NSC) Secretary-General

01 Nov 2023 2 2

Chen Fang-Yu

Inserted 1 year ago

“Although China now possesses ballistic missiles and aircraft carriers, which diminish Kinmen's strategic importance as a launching pad for any invasion of Taiwan, the island retains a symbolic significance. As tensions mount between China and Taiwan, the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party [CCP] might end up in a situation where they need a tangible win in the Taiwan Strait but are not ready for an all-out assault on Taiwan. In that scenario, seizing the largely demilitarised outlying Taiwanese islands of Kinmen and Matsu could provide a symbolic victory for the CCP; akin to what Russia did with Crimea in 2014.”

Aljazeera

Assistant professor at Soochow University in Taipei and studies the political relations between Taiwan, China and the United States

11 Aug 2022 5 2

Joseph Wu

Inserted 1 year ago

“Taiwanese are ready and prepared to defend themselves. Give us something for us to defend ourselves. And speak out in support for Taiwan so that we feel that we are not alone in fighting for ourselves. There's a growing awareness in the international community to care about the situation Taiwan is in. They know that if there's going to be a war in Taiwan, it's going to be a disaster for the rest of the world.”

Taiwannews

Taiwan’s foreign minister

01 May 2022 2 2

Chieh Chung

Inserted 2 years ago

“The Hsiung Sheng could reach most bases under the Chinese People's Liberation Army's Eastern Theatre Command, including those near Shanghai and the province of Zhejiang. It could greatly boost the national army's capacity to delay or paralyze the communist forces' pace of an invasion of Taiwan, making it hard for them to achieve a rapid war.”

Taipeitimes

Senior national security researcher at the National Policy Foundation (think tank in Taipei)

22 Apr 2022 7 4

Tsai Ing-wen

Inserted 2 years ago

“Here is this island of 23 million people trying hard every day to protect ourselves and protect our democracy and making sure that our people have the kind of freedom they deserve. If we fail, then that means people that believe in these values would doubt whether these are values that they (should) be fighting for.”

Cnn

President of Taiwan

26 Oct 2021 1 4

Chiu Kuo-cheng

Inserted 2 years ago

“The People's Liberation Army (PLA) currently has the ability to invade Taiwan but indicated that it probably will not immediately attack unless provoked because it would have to pay a price. By 2025, China's costs and attrition will be brought to the lowest level and it will have the ability to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan.”

Taiwannews

Taiwan's Minister of National Defense

06 Oct 2021 4 5

Chiu Kuo-cheng

Inserted 2 years ago

“Taiwan needed to be able to let China know they could defend themselves. The development of equipment must be long range, precise, and mobile, so that the enemy can sense that we are prepared as soon as they dispatch their troops... [Answering what China would attack first in the event of a war] On this the Chinese Communists' abilities have rapidly increased. They can disrupt our command, control, communications and intelligence systems, for example with fixed radar stations certainly being attacked first. So we must be mobile, stealthy and able to change positions.”

Reuters

Taiwan's Minister of National Defense

27 Sep 2021 3 4

Enoch Wu

Inserted 2 years ago

“We have about 160,000 folks in uniform facing a military that now claims to be 2 million strong [China military]. They have a signifiant role in the mission, but behind that we need a layered depth of responders who can really make sure that our defences are as strong as possible, so we can prevent military action.”

Theguardian

Taiwanese former banker and special forces soldier and founder of the international non-governmental organization Forward Alliance

22 Sep 2021 3 5

Joseph Wu

Inserted 2 years ago

“This [Taiwan] is our country, this is our people, and this is our way of life. We will defend ourselves to the very end.”

Taiwannews

Taiwan’s foreign minister

29 Apr 2021 1 3

Michael Tsai

Inserted 3 years ago

“If Taiwan was attacked by the PLA [People's Liberation Army], more than two-thirds of young people would take affirmative action to resist Chinese action. Taiwan is a free and democratic country. We like to live in a peaceful coexistence with China but if we were attacked we have to react for some defences. Of course, will suffer a lot. Many young people will lose their life, but so will the PLA.”

Aljazeera

Taiwan’s vice minister of defence and then minister of defence between 2004 and 2008

14 Apr 2021 3 3

Chiu Kuo-cheng

Inserted 2 years ago

“In my judgment, we cannot set a timeline for an attack at six months or six years. My goal is to be ready at all times. To be frank, China is capable of attacking Taiwan. Whether or not it is able to occupy Taiwan afterward, I won't speculate. China can launch an attack, but its considerations will have to go beyond winning the first fight... [Taiwan capability of withstanding a Chinese attack] It's not about ability. It's about willpower. I always tell my peers to stop asking how many days we need to hold out. The question is how many days does [China] want to fight? We'll keep them company for as many days as they want to fight.”

Newsweek

Taiwan's Minister of National Defense

17 Mar 2021 2 4

Chiu Kuo-cheng

Inserted 2 years ago

“They [China] are capable of starting a war. My goal is for us to be ready at all times.”

Aljazeera

Taiwan's Minister of National Defense

17 Mar 2021 2 3

Hsi-ming Lee

Inserted 3 years ago

“You say it’s your garden, but it turns out that it is your neighbor who’s hanging out in the garden all the time. With that action, they [China] are making a statement that it’s their garden - and that garden is one step away from your house. Time is definitely not on Taiwan’s side. It’s only a matter of time for them to gather enough strength [to assault Taiwan].”

Reuters

Admiral and until 2019 the commander of the Taiwanese military

10 Dec 2020 1 3

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China invasion of Taiwan - Considerations in Taiwan

“This [Taiwan] is our country, this is our people, and this is our way of life. We will defend ourselves to the very end.”

“They [China] are capable of starting a war. My goal is for us to be ready at all times.”

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