• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
  • Andriy Yermak
  • Vitaly Savelyev
  • Oleksandr Korniyenko
  • Dainius Kreivys
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Yi Wang
    Yi Wang “No conflict or war ends on the battlefield, but rather at the negotiating table. China supports the convening at an appropriate time of an international peace conference that is acceptable to the Russian and Ukrainian sides with the participation of all parties equally. There, peace plans can be discussed, fairly, to achieve a ceasefire as soon as possible. We must always insist on an objective and just position, there is no magic wand to solve the crisis. All parties should start with themselves.” 12 minutes ago
  • Boris Pistorius
    Boris Pistorius “Russia is already producing weapons and ammunition beyond its need for conducting an aggressive war against Ukraine. With increased spending on armaments and the streamlining of the military economy, a significant portion or part of what is produced no longer goes to the front line, but ends up in warehouses. Now you can be naive and say he's doing it just out of caution. As a sceptical person, I would say in this case that he's doing it because he has plans or could have them.” 5 hours ago
  • Emmanuel Macron
    Emmanuel Macron “There is a risk our Europe could die. We are not equipped to face the risks. Russia must not be allowed to win in Ukraine. Europeans should give preference to buying European military equipment. We must produce more, we must produce faster, and we must produce as Europeans.” 5 hours ago
  • Aleksey Kushch
    Aleksey Kushch “By including the Ukraine package in a bill that also provides military aid to Israel and Taiwan, the US shows the world that it equals Ukraine's and Israel's archenemies - Russia and Iran. This is a mighty geopolitical slap for China. As the trade turnover between Russia and China rose to $240bn last year, the more the US pushes Beijing, the more discounts for oil and gas China gets from Russia.” 6 hours ago
  • Nikolay Mitrokhin
    Nikolay Mitrokhin “The aid is a surprisingly exact match of Ukrainian military's needs that mostly has a deficit of air defence weaponry of all kinds and also needs to replenish its arsenal of tank destroyers, anti-infantry landmines and other kinds of ammunition. It's obviously needed to deliver infantry and other ground troops to the front line but not for an advance - otherwise the US would have given tanks.” 6 hours ago
  • Ihor Romanenko
    Ihor Romanenko “The aid can improve the situation on the 1,000km-long (620-mile-long) front line. But the aid looks like a handout to show that we haven't been forgotten, no more than that. They're always late, they hit the brakes, they're afraid. All of that is done to catch up [with Russia], but wars are won by those who act ahead of time.” 6 hours ago
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China invading Taiwan - opinion

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context China invading Taiwan - opinion.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Joe Biden
Joe Biden

“I absolutely believe there need not be a new Cold War. I've met many times with Xi Jinping. And we were candid and clear with one another across the board. And I do not think there's any imminent attempt on the part of China to invade Taiwan. And I made it clear that our policy in Taiwan has not changed at all. We're going to compete vigorously, but I'm not looking for conflict. I'm looking to manage this competition responsibly. And I want to make sure that every country abides by the international rules of the road.”

author
President of the United States
14 Nov 2022 2 7
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William Burns
William Burns

“China probably saw in Ukraine that you don't achieve quick, decisive victories with underwhelming force. Our sense is that it [Russia's five-month-old war in Ukraine] probably affects less the question of whether the Chinese leadership might choose some years down the road to use force to control Taiwan, but how and when they would do it. I suspect the lesson that the Chinese leadership and military are drawing is that you've got to amass overwhelming force if you're going to contemplate that in the future.”

author
CIA Director
20 Jul 2022 3 4
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William Burns
William Burns

“I think the Chinese leadership is looking very carefully at all this - at the costs and consequences of any effort to use force to gain control over Taiwan. I don't for a minute think that this has eroded Xi's [Xi Jinping] determination over time to gain control over Taiwan. But I think it's something that's affecting their calculation about how and when they go about doing that.”

author
CIA Director
07 May 2022 4 4
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Henry Kissinger
Henry Kissinger

“I don't expect an all-out attack on Taiwan in, say, a 10-year period, which is as far as I can see. We should have a principal goal of avoiding confrontation. It is foreseeable that China will take measures that will weaken the Taiwanese ability to appear substantially autonomous.”

author
American politician, diplomat, and geopolitical consultant who served as United States Secretary of State and National Security Advisor under the presidential administrations of Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford
21 Nov 2021 1 3
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Robert O'Brien
Robert O'Brien

“China will not do anything to jeopardize the Beijing Olympics in February. But Beijing worries that former President Donald Trump or a China hawk like former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will win the White House in 2024. That window between the Olympics and the next presidential election could be a window that President Xi believes that he has an opportunity to create mischief when it comes to Taiwan.”

author
Former National Security Advisor of the United States
02 Nov 2021 8 3
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Chiu Kuo-cheng
Chiu Kuo-cheng

“The People's Liberation Army (PLA) currently has the ability to invade Taiwan but indicated that it probably will not immediately attack unless provoked because it would have to pay a price. By 2025, China's costs and attrition will be brought to the lowest level and it will have the ability to launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan.”

author
Taiwan's Minister of National Defense
06 Oct 2021 4 5
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Herbert Raymond McMaster
Herbert Raymond McMaster

“China will keep turning up the heat with provocations in the region, especially next year since Xi [Xi Jinping] will likely continue as chairman for an unprecedented third term. It is a very dangerous time. I think it is probably not the most dangerous time yet. I do think that 2022, as many people have pointed out, is a critical period.”

author
Former United States National Security Advisor (2017 to 2018)
04 Oct 2021 2 7
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Timothy Heath
Timothy Heath

“If Taiwan can build these submarines - and admittedly that is a big if given the island's complete inexperience in manufacturing advanced submarines - these could be fairly advanced and effective. Taiwan's determination to build submarines and invest in its own defense makes it easier for US officials to politically justify helping an island under attack from China since Taiwan is doing what it can to defend itself. By contrast, a Taiwan that did nothing to improve its self-defense capabilities would make it far harder politically for US officials to justify an intervention. Absent any US intervention it is very probable that China would eventually find a way to suppress most or all of the subs.”

Cnn

author
Senior international defense researcher at the RAND Corp think tank in Washington
20 Dec 2020 4 6
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Ian Easton
Ian Easton

“HIMARS and SLAM-ER are cutting-edge technologically and will diversify and improve the capacity of Taiwan's counter-strike missile force. Invasion operations take a long time and they rely heavily on fixed bases for logistics. They are not short, one-wave affairs. If the ports and airfields in Fujian, Zhejiang and Guangdong can be devastated before the PLA gets established on Taiwan's coast and builds up to the tipping point, it will be much easier for the Taiwanese ground forces to push the invaders back into the sea.”

author
Senior director of the Project 2049 Institute a Virginia-based security research group
26 Oct 2020 8 4
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Wang Zaixi
Wang Zaixi

“Until today, the possibility of peaceful reunification was slim. The live-fire military exercises showed it is just one step away to actual combat.”

author
Retired major general and former deputy director of the Beijing-based Association for Relations across the Taiwan Straits
12 Oct 2020 1 4
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Chih-horng Lee
Chih-horng Lee

“The Beijing leadership has now realised that they need to cool down the nationalist fever as calls to take Taiwan by force have become too emotional, with many on mainland social media stirring up the topic for attention. As Qiao [retired air force major general who is seen as a hawkish voice on the mainland] said, Beijing realises now is not a good time to take Taiwan back by force, but Xi [Jinping] will come out up with the ultimate solution to solve the Taiwan issue.”

author
Professor who lectures in cross-strait relations at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore
10 May 2020 1 4
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