• Kaja Kallas
  • Moussa Faki Mahamat
  • Adrian Zenz
  • Matthew Kroenig
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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h
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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H
  • Igor Grosu
    Igor Grosu “The plebiscite is a chance for Moldovans to show loudly and clearly that we are Europeans. ... We are not entering Europe, we are returning to it.” 17 hours ago
  • Maia Sandu
    Maia Sandu “Joining the EU is the best thing we can give this and future generations.” 17 hours ago
  • Igor Dodon
    Igor Dodon “We are categorically opposed to this referendum. We are not saying 'no' to talks with the EU and we are not opposed to the EU. We oppose Sandu using it as an instrument for her own interests and those of her party. We are therefore asking voters during the campaign not to take part in the referendum.” 17 hours ago
  • Ben Hodges
    Ben Hodges “Since the fall of Avdiivka in Ukraine's east on February 17 [2024], its forces have oozed forward, swallowing several villages, as Ukrainian forces have performed tactical retreats. Here we are in April [2024], and [the Russians] are oozing out. Why is that? I think it's because that's the best the Russians can do. They do not have the capability to knock Ukraine out of the war. Russia lacked the ability to equip large armoured formations that could move rapidly, with supporting artillery, engineers and logistics. I don't think it exists. That's why I feel fairly confident that the mission for [Ukrainian] general Oleksandr Syrskyi for the next several months is to stabilise this as much as he can to buy time for Ukraine to grow the size of the army, to rebuild the defence industry of Ukraine, as well as give us time to find more ammunition for them. I think of 2024 as a year of industrial competition. So the army has got to buy time.” 19 hours ago
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China economy 2022

Page with all the IPSEs stored in the archive related to the Context China economy 2022.
The IPSEs are presented in chronological order based on when the IPSEs have been pronounced.

Carlos Casanova
Carlos Casanova

“The data exceeded expectations over the board, which means fewer risks to Q1-23 growth. We have revised our growth forecast for 2023 to 6.0 percent. The latest official statistics contained warning signs for long-term growth, including the first official decline in the population since 1961. Namely, China experienced a permanent loss in potential output as a result of low fertility rates during three long years of zero-COVID, resulting in a marked population decline.”

author
Senior economist for Asia at UBP in Hong Kong
17 Jan 2023 2 7
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Tommy Wu
Tommy Wu

“We expect a stronger macro policy response in the second quarter to shore up growth, but the impact will be limited in the context of restricted mobility. The effectiveness of policy stimulus will depend on whether mobility will still be restricted in a broad scale, so risks to the outlook remain skewed to the downside.”

author
Lead China economist at Oxford Economics in Hong Kong
18 Apr 2022 3 2
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Daniel Rosen
Daniel Rosen

“A slowing Chinese economy will negatively impact many economies that have remained dependent on China for export growth, such as Germany and South Korea. A slowing China means greater capital flows to the U.S. and Europe as well. China's slowdown is structural, and the result of middle-income status economic challenges, as well as the limits of debt- and property-driven growth. These problems will take considerable time to solve, and only a very clear signal of turning away from political intervention and back toward private market forces can restore China's potential.”

author
Partner at New York-based research provider Rhodium Group and a China analyst
11 Feb 2022 7 4
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Iris Pang
Iris Pang

“The key factors in our GDP growth forecast include COVID-19's impact on domestic demand, as well as overseas demand; the tightness of the supply chain, such as via high freight costs and the shortage of semiconductor chips. The property market is now undergoing massive M&As [Mergers and acquisitions], and the main potential buyers should be state-owned developers. We expect proactive fiscal policies, such as building more infrastructure projects and loosening monetary policies through cutting interest rates, to support the economy.”

author
ING's chief economist for Greater China
11 Feb 2022 9 3
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