“What the regime [of Bashar al-Assad] is desperate to achieve is to end the US and EU sanctions and restore diplomatic relations with Arab countries and the west. King Abdullah appears to be putting these on the table and saying 'let's give these to Assad in return for limited behavioural change'. Assad will not engage in a transactional relationship as described in the paper. Instead, he will likely exploit the channels extended to him to undermine whatever leverage the west/Arab states have.”
26 Sep 2021
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