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“There's a chance North Korea could try to exploit the U.S. election to its advantage. If Kim Jong-un really wants Trump back in the White House, he might calculate that a well-timed provocation could weaken the Biden administration, making Trump's re-election more likely. From North Korea's perspective, Trump might offer a better chance to be recognized as a de facto nuclear state. He could be more open to a deal where North Korea declares a moratorium on certain activities in exchange for partial sanctions relief.”
25 Aug 2024
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