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“If Taiwan can build these submarines - and admittedly that is a big if given the island's complete inexperience in manufacturing advanced submarines - these could be fairly advanced and effective. Taiwan's determination to build submarines and invest in its own defense makes it easier for US officials to politically justify helping an island under attack from China since Taiwan is doing what it can to defend itself. By contrast, a Taiwan that did nothing to improve its self-defense capabilities would make it far harder politically for US officials to justify an intervention. Absent any US intervention it is very probable that China would eventually find a way to suppress most or all of the subs.”
20 Dec 2020
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