Temur Umarov Page | IPSE DIXIT

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Temur Umarov

Researcher, Analyst

Temur Umarov

Inserted 1 year ago

“Beijing is watching Russia's actions in Ukraine and tries on the consequences that affect Russia, assuming what they could mean to China in case it chooses to invade Taiwan.”

Analyst for Carnegie Politika, a think-tank formerly based in Moscow

11 Nov 2022 3 2

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Temur Umarov

Inserted 1 year ago

“Even before the war, Russia needed China more than China needed Russia. After the war began, this dependence only got stronger. Russia is completely cut off from the global technologies market, and only China is left.”

Expert on China-Central Asia relations at the Carnegie Moscow Center

17 Sep 2022 1 1

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Temur Umarov

Inserted 2 years ago

“Before the war, Uzbekistan was one step closer to joining the Eurasian Economic Union and Mirziyoyev [Shavkat Mirziyoyev] even participated in a meeting of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation. [But] I think that now Uzbekistan will try to distance itself from Moscow. I think that Usmanov [Uzbek-born Russian businessman Alisher Usmanov] is thinking about his own future. His business was mostly possible to prosper in the previous Russia, now everything has changed because of the sanctions. He probably looks for an opportunity to change his main location, and turn from a Russian oligarch with Uzbek roots into an Uzbek oligarch. The way Central Asia thinks about Russia has changed. While before, Russia was seen as a source of stability, it now seems that its presence in a very sensitive security dimension has become a weakness for the regional stability, sovereignty and territorial integrity. I think that Central Asian governments will seek to minimise the influence of Russia, which will be difficult to do, but they have no choice since it has become an unpredictable power.”

Fellow at the Carnegie Moscow Center

25 Mar 2022 10 3

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Temur Umarov

Inserted 2 years ago

“For China, security on its border is crucial and is part of its core interests in Central Asia. Expanding its security presence in Tajikistan is the most effective tool that it possesses right now.”

Expert on China-Central Asia relations at the Carnegie Moscow Center

27 Oct 2021 2 2

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Temur Umarov

Inserted 2 years ago

“I wouldn't expect any surprises from this trip, but Beijing will use this as an opportunity to show its regional power ambitions. While Beijing holds influential cards for Afghanistan, its strategy is unclear and vague. China doesn't want to replace the United States in Afghanistan. In the future, we can likely expect more [Chinese] engagement with different parties in the Afghan conflict, but only if it fits China's interests in the region. The most important goal for China is to seal the chaos inside Afghanistan's borders.”

Expert on China-Central Asia relations at the Carnegie Moscow Center

14 Jul 2021 3 4

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Temur Umarov

Inserted 3 years ago

“China has shown many times in Latin America and Africa that it is not a charity and that it is a very pragmatic partner in terms of getting back its debts. For Kyrgyzstan, it's a challenging situation with no clear way out.”

Expert on China-Central Asia relations at the Carnegie Moscow Center

27 Feb 2021 2 4

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27

Wednesday

Oct, 2021

For China, security on its border is crucial and is part of its core interests in Central Asia. Expanding its security presence in Tajikistan is the most effective tool that it possesses right now.

11

Friday

Nov, 2022

Beijing is watching Russia's actions in Ukraine and tries on the consequences that affect Russia, assuming what they could mean to China in case it chooses to invade Taiwan.

27

Saturday

Feb, 2021

China has shown many times in Latin America and Africa that it is not a charity and that it is a very pragmatic partner in terms of getting back its debts. For Kyrgyzstan, it's a challenging situation with no clear way out.