Sam Greene Page | IPSE DIXIT

Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

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Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

Person

1

6

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 22 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 22 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 22 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 22 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 22 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 22 hours ago

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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

Lynn Kuok Political Scientist

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 22 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 22 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 22 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 22 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 22 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 22 hours ago

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Sam Greene

Director

Sam Greene

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“For the moment this process [of ending the war] has been entirely cost-free from a Russian perspective. And I think the lesson they're drawing from this is that if they go slowly, first of all they can extract concessions from the Americans, and potentially from the Europeans, just in order to keep Russia at the table. Regardless of what they can agree upon, there is a gap between the goals of Trump and Putin when it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine. Trump wants an end to this war, while Russia wants an outcome to this war that leaves it in a position of dominion in Ukraine. I think Russia believes it can afford to be flexible in terms of how that dominion is executed...so long as it is dominant.”

Director of the Russia Institute at King's College, London

20 Mar 2025 4 3

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Sam Greene

Inserted 3 months ago

“I think that…what we will likely be looking at is some de facto, at least, if not a de jure cease-fire with some degree of negotiation, tacit or explicit, over the course of 2025.”

Director of the Russia Institute at King's College, London

31 Dec 2024 3 3

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Sam Greene

Inserted 9 months ago

“If Putin cannot get everything he wants from Beijing, he will look to get it elsewhere, and there aren't a lot of supermarkets that cover his wish list - arms, labor and a willingness to pick a fight with Washington. Iran is one. North Korea is another. The point is that, while Putin recognizes his dependency on China, he can't afford to let Beijing dictate the course of the war effort - because as goes the war, so goes Putin.”

Director of the Russia Institute at King's College, London

22 Jun 2024 4 4

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Sam Greene

Inserted 3 years ago

“The best mission for Moscow's got to be: you go in, you look big and strong standing in visible places and you never actually have to do anything. There's nothing to be gained from shooting at another country's population. But even a successful intervention could leave in place an unpopular government, risk fuelling anti-Russian sentiment and fail to address the underlying causes of the unrest. Russia had presumably calculated that failure to act would risk a worse outcome, namely the fall of Tokayev and the emergence of a power vacuum in Kazakhstan.”

Director of the Russia Institute at King's College, London

07 Jan 2022 2 2

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12 CONTEXTS Contexts related to IPSEs pronounced by Sam Greene

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31

Tuesday

Dec, 2024

I think that…what we will likely be looking at is some de facto, at least, if not a de jure cease-fire with some degree of negotiation, tacit or explicit, over the course of 2025.

07

Friday

Jan, 2022

The best mission for Moscow's got to be: you go in, you look big and strong standing in visible places and you never actually have to do anything. There's nothing to be gained from shooting at another country's population. But even a successful intervention could leave in place an unpopular government, risk fuelling anti-Russian sentiment and fail to address the underlying causes of the unrest. Russia had presumably calculated that failure to act would risk a worse outcome, namely the fall of Tokayev and the emergence of a power vacuum in Kazakhstan.

20

Thursday

Mar, 2025

For the moment this process [of ending the war] has been entirely cost-free from a Russian perspective. And I think the lesson they're drawing from this is that if they go slowly, first of all they can extract concessions from the Americans, and potentially from the Europeans, just in order to keep Russia at the table. Regardless of what they can agree upon, there is a gap between the goals of Trump and Putin when it comes to Russia's war against Ukraine. Trump wants an end to this war, while Russia wants an outcome to this war that leaves it in a position of dominion in Ukraine. I think Russia believes it can afford to be flexible in terms of how that dominion is executed...so long as it is dominant.