Matt Bryden Page | IPSE DIXIT

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Kaja Kallas POLITICIAN
Moussa Faki Mahamat CHAIRPERSON, POLITICIAN
Adrian Zenz ACADEMIC, ANALYST, RESEARCHER
Matthew Kroenig POLITICAL SCIENTIST
Andriy Yermak POLITICIAN
Vitaly Savelyev POLITICIAN
Oleksandr Korniyenko POLITICIAN
Dainius Kreivys POLITICIAN

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Theresa Fallon “Many people would like to see China play a constructive role, but I think now that we're in the third year of the war, this idea is wearing a bit thin.” 13 hours ago
Mahjoob Zweiri “What we have witnessed in the past few hours is that they talk about an agreement on the first stage. It could be understood that Hamas wants to release itself from the pressure globally, including the United States. So, they are giving concessions on the first stage, which leads to 40 days of ceasefire and exchange of captives. I think 33 old and sick captives. And then moving on to other stages. But we are seeing that we are going back to the main conditions, which means we are still talking about the main principles [complete ceasefire and withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza] that Hamas talked about. As the time of some sort of agreement on the first stage came, the Israeli military and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu came to say actually, there is no agreement: We will go to Rafah regardless of any agreement. It reflects the divisions within the Israelis and crisis within the Israeli politics. On the other hand, Hamas has been more cautious. They do not want to show real progress made but they also do not want to say things have not changed. I think it's obvious some change has happened otherwise we would not expect [CIA chief] William Burns to be in the region.” 14 hours ago

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Theresa Fallon Director

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Theresa Fallon “Many people would like to see China play a constructive role, but I think now that we're in the third year of the war, this idea is wearing a bit thin.” 13 hours ago
Mahjoob Zweiri “What we have witnessed in the past few hours is that they talk about an agreement on the first stage. It could be understood that Hamas wants to release itself from the pressure globally, including the United States. So, they are giving concessions on the first stage, which leads to 40 days of ceasefire and exchange of captives. I think 33 old and sick captives. And then moving on to other stages. But we are seeing that we are going back to the main conditions, which means we are still talking about the main principles [complete ceasefire and withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza] that Hamas talked about. As the time of some sort of agreement on the first stage came, the Israeli military and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu came to say actually, there is no agreement: We will go to Rafah regardless of any agreement. It reflects the divisions within the Israelis and crisis within the Israeli politics. On the other hand, Hamas has been more cautious. They do not want to show real progress made but they also do not want to say things have not changed. I think it's obvious some change has happened otherwise we would not expect [CIA chief] William Burns to be in the region.” 14 hours ago

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Matt Bryden

Political Analyst

Matt Bryden

Inserted 2 years ago

“Somalia has been in a constitutional crisis since February when the president's mandate expired. The country has been held together by a political agreement between stakeholders of the federal government, federal member states and stakeholders in the elections. That was supposed to postpone the elections until today, December 27. That has not happened and that is why we are facing this crisis. The prime minister [Mohamed Hussein Roble] was planning to convene a national conference today to chart the way forward. Now the president [Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed] has once again intervened and created a situation of real uncertainty and danger. The electoral model was modified by Farmaajo [Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed] to favour his reelection and this change is now contributing to the impasse in the electoral process. The entire process has come down almost to cherry picking, where seat by seat we are seeing rigging, we are seeing appointees of the president being given seats, and these are the people who will choose the next president.”

Political analyst at Sahan, a think tank focusing on the Horn of Africa

27 Dec 2021 4 3

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Monday

Dec, 2021

Somalia has been in a constitutional crisis since February when the president's mandate expired. The country has been held together by a political agreement between stakeholders of the federal government, federal member states and stakeholders in the elections. That was supposed to postpone the elections until today, December 27. That has not happened and that is why we are facing this crisis. The prime minister [Mohamed Hussein Roble] was planning to convene a national conference today to chart the way forward. Now the president [Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed] has once again intervened and created a situation of real uncertainty and danger. The electoral model was modified by Farmaajo [Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed] to favour his reelection and this change is now contributing to the impasse in the electoral process. The entire process has come down almost to cherry picking, where seat by seat we are seeing rigging, we are seeing appointees of the president being given seats, and these are the people who will choose the next president.