Colin Clarke Page | IPSE DIXIT

Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

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Alok Sharma POLITICIAN
Ursula von der Leyen POLITICIAN
Kristalina Georgieva ECONOMIST
Klaus Iohannis POLITICIAN
Joe Rogan HOST
Perparim Rama ARCHITECT, MAYOR, POLITICIAN
Wang Mei-hua POLITICIAN
Bruno Le Maire POLITICIAN

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1

6

IPSEs IN THE LAST 24h

Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 22 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 22 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 22 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 22 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 23 hours ago

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IPSE'S AUTHORS LAST 24h

Lynn Kuok Political Scientist

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IPSEs IN THE LAST 24H

Nguyen Khac Giang “Hanoi is being careful not to signal a tilt too far toward Beijing, especially in areas that could displease the Trump administration. Ultimately, Hanoi is still hedging between the world's two great powers. But as the geopolitical climate hardens, the space to do so is rapidly shrinking.” 22 hours ago
Lynn Kuok “Chinese officials have quietly conveyed that the way the U.S. treats its longstanding allies and partners in Europe is a sign of what's to come for Southeast Asia. With Trump's steep, sweeping tariffs across the region, that message needs no reinforcement.” 22 hours ago
Christopher Beddor “It [tariff of 145% on all Chinese goods] makes a fairly bad situation worse. The economy has been grinding through one deflationary shock for several years now, and there is another shock that is imminent. The trade war is going to leave some sort of hole in the economy.” 22 hours ago
Jerome Powell “We may find ourselves in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension. If that were to occur, we would consider how far the economy is from each goal, and the potentially different time horizons over which those respective gaps would be anticipated to close.” 22 hours ago
Kristalina Georgieva “Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession. We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries. Ultimately, trade is like water. When countries put up obstacles in the form of tariff and non-tariff barriers, the flow diverts. Some sectors in some countries may be flooded by cheap imports; others may see shortages. Trade goes on, but disruptions incur costs.” 23 hours ago
Oleksandr Syrskyi “The enemy has not changed its plans to drive Ukrainian Armed Forces units beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and reach the administrative borders of these regions. However, the enemy's plan remains unfulfilled. We are continuing our defensive operations while also conducting counteroffensive actions, and we have seen some success. Over the past few weeks, we have liberated around 16 square kilometres of territory near Udachne, Kotlyne and Shevchenko. I thank the Ukrainian soldiers for their courage, resilience and professionalism.” 23 hours ago

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Colin Clarke

Researcher, Analyst

Colin Clarke

Inserted 3 weeks ago

“The lack of a US presence in Afghanistan following its 2021 withdrawal has left a major intelligence gap in the fight against IS [Islamic State]. The US has been forced to rely on signals intelligence and has extremely limited human intelligence in Afghanistan. IS is a much different organization today than it was seven years ago when it still had the caliphate, it is far more dependent on external operations and attacks to generate publicity. They have deliberately amended their strategy to focus on launching high profile attacks in the West. They have been aggressive and relentless in their plotting and are determined to pull off a spectacular attack in Europe or the United States.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

25 Mar 2025 10 1

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 2 months ago

“If Syria's new rulers manage to effectively run the country, it would serve as a real momentum boost for Islamist groups. To the leadership in U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia, there is a concern that the takeover of Syria by HTS will energize Islamists in those countries, and if [Ahmed al-Sharaa] succeeds in governing, it will be proof of concept for groups like the Muslim Brotherhood.”

Director of policy and research at the New York-based Soufan Group intelligence consultancy

18 Jan 2025 10 7

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 3 months ago

“Talk is cheap. So no matter what these groups say, believe their actions, not their words.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

27 Dec 2024 3 2

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 4 months ago

“When we start trying to divide up who the winner and who the losers are from the overthrow of the al-Assad regime, one of the big potential losers here is going to be the Kurds and one of the big potential winners is going to be Turkiye. As we know, the Kurds and the Turks have historic animosity, and Erdogan is likely to use the current impasse to push for more leverage to go after the Kurds. The Kurds have long been backed by the United States, leading to a situation in which you have two NATO allies backing different proxy groups in what's going to be a very complex situation going forward. A lot of analysts want to focus on the joy that Syrians are experiencing with freedom for the first time in five decades, and that's absolutely heartwarming, but the hard part now begins, which is putting together a cohesive entity to govern the country.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

09 Dec 2024 7 4

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 7 months ago

“We're in a highly polarised political climate. We live in a country awash with weaponry, and there's a constant threat stream - an unending, incessant, ubiquitous threat stream against the top political figures. So, I'm not surprised at all, and I hate to be the bearer of bad news. This is probably not the last form of political violence that we're going to see between now and November, to say nothing of what happens after the election.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

15 Sep 2024 1 4

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 9 months ago

“There's going to be a lot of finger-pointing and blame-shifting that goes on here. There are still many questions that need to be answered to get a comprehensive picture of exactly what went on. What's obvious is that there was a massive security failure that led former President Trump to being an inch away from being assassinated at a political rally. This is just one of those moments where everybody has to calm down, take a deep breath and - no matter what side of the political spectrum you're on - this is about security, protecting politicians and others as well. Let's not forget - people in the crowd were shot, civilians that were attending a political rally. That's totally unacceptable.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

15 Jul 2024 3 1

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 10 months ago

“There is something to critics who have called the US a bit apocryphal in the way they're supporting Ukraine but also continuing unfettered support to Israel when there are real questions about the [Israeli army's] conduct in Gaza. There's a lot of soul-searching going on within the Biden administration. That's going to be another important factor come November - Biden's Gaza policy and what happens next with this attempt to bring a ceasefire to Gaza and figure out a post-conflict scenario.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

07 Jun 2024 6 3

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 1 year ago

“ISIS-K has been fixated on Russia for the past two years. ISIS-K accuses the Kremlin of having Muslim blood in its hands, referencing Moscow's interventions in Afghanistan, Chechnya and Syria.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

23 Mar 2024 4 2

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 3 years ago

“ISIL still has access to tens of millions of dollars and will likely continue to rebuild its network throughout Iraq and Syria. [Its] primary goal at the moment is to have its affiliates maintain momentum until it can sufficiently rebuild its core in the Levant. [ISIL] affiliates in sub-Saharan Africa and now Afghanistan will have the opportunity to make strides in the coming year.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

28 Aug 2021 4 5

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Colin Clarke

Inserted 3 years ago

“His [Joe Biden] options are absolutely limited. It's bad options all around. We lost 13 guys. People are sad and angry and there is a perception that the US is being humiliated.”

Senior research fellow at the US-based Soufan Centre

27 Aug 2021 2 1

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25

Tuesday

Mar, 2025

The lack of a US presence in Afghanistan following its 2021 withdrawal has left a major intelligence gap in the fight against IS [Islamic State]. The US has been forced to rely on signals intelligence and has extremely limited human intelligence in Afghanistan. IS is a much different organization today than it was seven years ago when it still had the caliphate, it is far more dependent on external operations and attacks to generate publicity. They have deliberately amended their strategy to focus on launching high profile attacks in the West. They have been aggressive and relentless in their plotting and are determined to pull off a spectacular attack in Europe or the United States.

27

Friday

Aug, 2021

His [Joe Biden] options are absolutely limited. It's bad options all around. We lost 13 guys. People are sad and angry and there is a perception that the US is being humiliated.

18

Saturday

Jan, 2025

If Syria's new rulers manage to effectively run the country, it would serve as a real momentum boost for Islamist groups. To the leadership in U.A.E. and Saudi Arabia, there is a concern that the takeover of Syria by HTS will energize Islamists in those countries, and if [Ahmed al-Sharaa] succeeds in governing, it will be proof of concept for groups like the Muslim Brotherhood.